Traders have converged on a 25°C low for Seoul and Incheon on August 15 due to the Korea Meteorological Administration’s official forecast, which sets the daily minimum at exactly that level amid persistent summer conditions. Current observations show overnight readings near 24–25°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with regional climatology where mid-August lows typically range 23–26°C. Ensemble model consensus supports limited overnight cooling given high humidity and weak winds. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected convective activity or a sharper post-frontal push to drop readings below the threshold before midnight, though no such signal appears in the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
8月15日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
25°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$22,991 交易量
$22,991 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
25°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$22,991 交易量
$22,991 交易量
2026-08-15
20°C或以下
$347 交易量
否
21°C
$545 交易量
否
22°C
$1,221 交易量
否
23°C
$1,923 交易量
否
24°C
$4,360 交易量
否
25°C
$6,862 交易量
是
26°C
$3,713 交易量
否
27°C
$3,056 交易量
否
28°C
$321 交易量
否
29°C
$301 交易量
否
30°C或更高
$342 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 25°C low for Seoul and Incheon on August 15 due to the Korea Meteorological Administration’s official forecast, which sets the daily minimum at exactly that level amid persistent summer conditions. Current observations show overnight readings near 24–25°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with regional climatology where mid-August lows typically range 23–26°C. Ensemble model consensus supports limited overnight cooling given high humidity and weak winds. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected convective activity or a sharper post-frontal push to drop readings below the threshold before midnight, though no such signal appears in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$22,991结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 25°C low for Seoul and Incheon on August 15 due to the Korea Meteorological Administration’s official forecast, which sets the daily minimum at exactly that level amid persistent summer conditions. Current observations show overnight readings near 24–25°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with regional climatology where mid-August lows typically range 23–26°C. Ensemble model consensus supports limited overnight cooling given high humidity and weak winds. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected convective activity or a sharper post-frontal push to drop readings below the threshold before midnight, though no such signal appears in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,991结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Traders have converged on a 25°C low for Seoul and Incheon on August 15 due to the Korea Meteorological Administration’s official forecast, which sets the daily minimum at exactly that level amid persistent summer conditions. Current observations show overnight readings near 24–25°C under cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with regional climatology where mid-August lows typically range 23–26°C. Ensemble model consensus supports limited overnight cooling given high humidity and weak winds. A realistic challenge would require stronger-than-expected convective activity or a sharper post-frontal push to drop readings below the threshold before midnight, though no such signal appears in the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题