Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving the market's concentration on 15–17°C as the most likely minimum temperature for Seoul/Incheon on September 16, with 16°C holding the largest share of implied probability. Official forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight radiative cooling will bring lows near 15–16°C (59–61°F) by early morning under calm conditions, consistent with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn nights but below the long-term September average low of roughly 17–18°C. No significant frontal activity or cloud cover is expected to moderate temperatures, though minor model variations in wind or humidity could shift the exact reading by 1°C. Updated guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and regional ensembles will refine the outlook ahead of the overnight minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
9月16日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
16°C 43%
17°C 29%
15°C 19%
13°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
11°C或以下
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
3%
15°C
19%
16°C
43%
17°C
29%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C或更高
2%
16°C 43%
17°C 29%
15°C 19%
13°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
11°C或以下
$44 交易量
1%
12°C
$44 交易量
1%
13°C
$0 交易量
4%
14°C
$36 交易量
3%
15°C
$1,147 交易量
19%
16°C
$1,190 交易量
43%
17°C
$1,473 交易量
29%
18°C
$111 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
3%
20°C
$39 交易量
2%
21°C或更高
$180 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving the market's concentration on 15–17°C as the most likely minimum temperature for Seoul/Incheon on September 16, with 16°C holding the largest share of implied probability. Official forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight radiative cooling will bring lows near 15–16°C (59–61°F) by early morning under calm conditions, consistent with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn nights but below the long-term September average low of roughly 17–18°C. No significant frontal activity or cloud cover is expected to moderate temperatures, though minor model variations in wind or humidity could shift the exact reading by 1°C. Updated guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and regional ensembles will refine the outlook ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$4,261结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving the market's concentration on 15–17°C as the most likely minimum temperature for Seoul/Incheon on September 16, with 16°C holding the largest share of implied probability. Official forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight radiative cooling will bring lows near 15–16°C (59–61°F) by early morning under calm conditions, consistent with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn nights but below the long-term September average low of roughly 17–18°C. No significant frontal activity or cloud cover is expected to moderate temperatures, though minor model variations in wind or humidity could shift the exact reading by 1°C. Updated guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and regional ensembles will refine the outlook ahead of the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,261结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETClear skies and light winds under a stable high-pressure system are driving the market's concentration on 15–17°C as the most likely minimum temperature for Seoul/Incheon on September 16, with 16°C holding the largest share of implied probability. Official forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight radiative cooling will bring lows near 15–16°C (59–61°F) by early morning under calm conditions, consistent with the seasonal transition toward cooler autumn nights but below the long-term September average low of roughly 17–18°C. No significant frontal activity or cloud cover is expected to moderate temperatures, though minor model variations in wind or humidity could shift the exact reading by 1°C. Updated guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and regional ensembles will refine the outlook ahead of the overnight minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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