Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on September 15 likely falling between 23–26°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light easterly winds and possible scattered showers. This aligns with September climatological normals of roughly 24–26°C overnight lows in the subtropical monsoon climate, where high humidity limits radiative cooling and keeps the diurnal range modest. The closely matched market probabilities around 25°C, 24°C, and lower bins reflect uncertainty in exact overnight minimums due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing across ensemble runs, rather than any extreme cold or heat signal. Updated model outputs ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds as local observations clarify steering patterns and moisture levels.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日深圳最低气温？
9月15日深圳最低气温？
20°C或以下 56%
30°C或更高 56%
22°C 39%
25°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
20°C或以下
56%
21°C
13%
22°C
39%
23°C
22%
24°C
25%
25°C
29%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
17%
30°C或更高
56%
20°C或以下 56%
30°C或更高 56%
22°C 39%
25°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
20°C或以下
$10 交易量
56%
21°C
$10 交易量
13%
22°C
$100 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
22%
24°C
$0 交易量
25%
25°C
$0 交易量
29%
26°C
$0 交易量
25%
27°C
$0 交易量
22%
28°C
$8 交易量
21%
29°C
$10 交易量
17%
30°C或更高
$10 交易量
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on September 15 likely falling between 23–26°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light easterly winds and possible scattered showers. This aligns with September climatological normals of roughly 24–26°C overnight lows in the subtropical monsoon climate, where high humidity limits radiative cooling and keeps the diurnal range modest. The closely matched market probabilities around 25°C, 24°C, and lower bins reflect uncertainty in exact overnight minimums due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing across ensemble runs, rather than any extreme cold or heat signal. Updated model outputs ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds as local observations clarify steering patterns and moisture levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
交易量
$148结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on September 15 likely falling between 23–26°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light easterly winds and possible scattered showers. This aligns with September climatological normals of roughly 24–26°C overnight lows in the subtropical monsoon climate, where high humidity limits radiative cooling and keeps the diurnal range modest. The closely matched market probabilities around 25°C, 24°C, and lower bins reflect uncertainty in exact overnight minimums due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing across ensemble runs, rather than any extreme cold or heat signal. Updated model outputs ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds as local observations clarify steering patterns and moisture levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$148结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Shenzhen on September 15 likely falling between 23–26°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light easterly winds and possible scattered showers. This aligns with September climatological normals of roughly 24–26°C overnight lows in the subtropical monsoon climate, where high humidity limits radiative cooling and keeps the diurnal range modest. The closely matched market probabilities around 25°C, 24°C, and lower bins reflect uncertainty in exact overnight minimums due to variable cloud cover and precipitation timing across ensemble runs, rather than any extreme cold or heat signal. Updated model outputs ahead of resolution will likely refine these odds as local observations clarify steering patterns and moisture levels.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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