**Forecast models and official guidance from Singapore’s Meteorological Service (MSS) point to a minimum temperature near or just above 27°C on September 2, supporting the market’s strong 61% implied probability for that outcome.** Equatorial Singapore typically sees overnight lows of 24–27°C in early September, but prevailing south-easterly winds and dry conditions are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping the air mass warm and humid. MSS’s September 1 briefing explicitly forecast minimums above 27°C on most nights in the first half of the month, citing fair, occasionally windy conditions and only isolated late-day thundery showers. Multiple numerical models (GFS, ECMWF-derived) and station outlooks converge on nighttime readings of 26–28°C, with 27–28°C most frequently indicated for the overnight period. Lower outcomes (24–26°C) remain possible under localized clearer skies or brief showers but carry lower consensus weight, while readings of 23°C or below are viewed as outliers given the current steering pattern and lack of strong cold-air advection. Traders appear to be weighting the official MSS guidance and model consensus heavily, pricing the 27°C threshold as the modal outcome while allowing modest probability for slight downward variance. Updated model runs or any shift in wind direction before midnight on September 1–2 could still nudge probabilities, though the current setup favors stability near the upper end of the typical early-September range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡9月2日最低气温？
新加坡9月2日最低气温？
24°C 79%
25°C 79%
26°C 79%
28°C 79%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
22°C or below
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
79%
25°C
79%
26°C
79%
27°C
61%
28°C
79%
29°C
5%
30°C
79%
31°C
79%
32°C or higher
6%
24°C 79%
25°C 79%
26°C 79%
28°C 79%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
22°C or below
$5 交易量
2%
23°C
$21 交易量
5%
24°C
$21 交易量
79%
25°C
$0 交易量
79%
26°C
$0 交易量
79%
27°C
$0 交易量
61%
28°C
$2 交易量
79%
29°C
$10 交易量
5%
30°C
$5 交易量
79%
31°C
$5 交易量
79%
32°C or higher
$5 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from Singapore’s Meteorological Service (MSS) point to a minimum temperature near or just above 27°C on September 2, supporting the market’s strong 61% implied probability for that outcome.** Equatorial Singapore typically sees overnight lows of 24–27°C in early September, but prevailing south-easterly winds and dry conditions are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping the air mass warm and humid.
MSS’s September 1 briefing explicitly forecast minimums above 27°C on most nights in the first half of the month, citing fair, occasionally windy conditions and only isolated late-day thundery showers. Multiple numerical models (GFS, ECMWF-derived) and station outlooks converge on nighttime readings of 26–28°C, with 27–28°C most frequently indicated for the overnight period. Lower outcomes (24–26°C) remain possible under localized clearer skies or brief showers but carry lower consensus weight, while readings of 23°C or below are viewed as outliers given the current steering pattern and lack of strong cold-air advection.
Traders appear to be weighting the official MSS guidance and model consensus heavily, pricing the 27°C threshold as the modal outcome while allowing modest probability for slight downward variance. Updated model runs or any shift in wind direction before midnight on September 1–2 could still nudge probabilities, though the current setup favors stability near the upper end of the typical early-September range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$74结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from Singapore’s Meteorological Service (MSS) point to a minimum temperature near or just above 27°C on September 2, supporting the market’s strong 61% implied probability for that outcome.** Equatorial Singapore typically sees overnight lows of 24–27°C in early September, but prevailing south-easterly winds and dry conditions are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping the air mass warm and humid.
MSS’s September 1 briefing explicitly forecast minimums above 27°C on most nights in the first half of the month, citing fair, occasionally windy conditions and only isolated late-day thundery showers. Multiple numerical models (GFS, ECMWF-derived) and station outlooks converge on nighttime readings of 26–28°C, with 27–28°C most frequently indicated for the overnight period. Lower outcomes (24–26°C) remain possible under localized clearer skies or brief showers but carry lower consensus weight, while readings of 23°C or below are viewed as outliers given the current steering pattern and lack of strong cold-air advection.
Traders appear to be weighting the official MSS guidance and model consensus heavily, pricing the 27°C threshold as the modal outcome while allowing modest probability for slight downward variance. Updated model runs or any shift in wind direction before midnight on September 1–2 could still nudge probabilities, though the current setup favors stability near the upper end of the typical early-September range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$74结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models and official guidance from Singapore’s Meteorological Service (MSS) point to a minimum temperature near or just above 27°C on September 2, supporting the market’s strong 61% implied probability for that outcome.** Equatorial Singapore typically sees overnight lows of 24–27°C in early September, but prevailing south-easterly winds and dry conditions are expected to limit radiative cooling, keeping the air mass warm and humid. MSS’s September 1 briefing explicitly forecast minimums above 27°C on most nights in the first half of the month, citing fair, occasionally windy conditions and only isolated late-day thundery showers. Multiple numerical models (GFS, ECMWF-derived) and station outlooks converge on nighttime readings of 26–28°C, with 27–28°C most frequently indicated for the overnight period. Lower outcomes (24–26°C) remain possible under localized clearer skies or brief showers but carry lower consensus weight, while readings of 23°C or below are viewed as outliers given the current steering pattern and lack of strong cold-air advection. Traders appear to be weighting the official MSS guidance and model consensus heavily, pricing the 27°C threshold as the modal outcome while allowing modest probability for slight downward variance. Updated model runs or any shift in wind direction before midnight on September 1–2 could still nudge probabilities, though the current setup favors stability near the upper end of the typical early-September range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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