Forecast models and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance indicate Tokyo's September 19 overnight low will likely settle near 21°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow that limits radiative cooling under high humidity. Recent observations show stable pressure around 1020 hPa with temperatures holding in the 20–22°C range through the night, consistent with seasonal baselines near 19°C but elevated by the frontal influence. Ensemble consensus points to minimal deviation, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 21°C while leaving room for slight revisions if precipitation timing shifts or winds weaken.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日东京最低气温？
9月19日东京最低气温？
21°C 51%
22°C 29%
20°C 23%
23°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
23%
21°C
51%
22°C
29%
23°C
8%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
21°C 51%
22°C 29%
20°C 23%
23°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
16°C或以下
$53 交易量
<1%
17°C
$53 交易量
<1%
18°C
$0 交易量
2%
19°C
$0 交易量
5%
20°C
$605 交易量
23%
21°C
$521 交易量
51%
22°C
$1,968 交易量
29%
23°C
$64 交易量
8%
24°C
$0 交易量
3%
25°C
$53 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$53 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance indicate Tokyo's September 19 overnight low will likely settle near 21°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow that limits radiative cooling under high humidity. Recent observations show stable pressure around 1020 hPa with temperatures holding in the 20–22°C range through the night, consistent with seasonal baselines near 19°C but elevated by the frontal influence. Ensemble consensus points to minimal deviation, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 21°C while leaving room for slight revisions if precipitation timing shifts or winds weaken.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,370结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance indicate Tokyo's September 19 overnight low will likely settle near 21°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow that limits radiative cooling under high humidity. Recent observations show stable pressure around 1020 hPa with temperatures holding in the 20–22°C range through the night, consistent with seasonal baselines near 19°C but elevated by the frontal influence. Ensemble consensus points to minimal deviation, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 21°C while leaving room for slight revisions if precipitation timing shifts or winds weaken.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,370结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast models and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance indicate Tokyo's September 19 overnight low will likely settle near 21°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow that limits radiative cooling under high humidity. Recent observations show stable pressure around 1020 hPa with temperatures holding in the 20–22°C range through the night, consistent with seasonal baselines near 19°C but elevated by the frontal influence. Ensemble consensus points to minimal deviation, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 21°C while leaving room for slight revisions if precipitation timing shifts or winds weaken.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题