Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 21 will reach approximately 8°C under stable southerly flow and limited cloud cover, aligning with historical August climatology of 7–9°C lows. Trader consensus at 97% for this outcome reflects consistent model agreement on radiative cooling overnight without significant cold-air advection or frost risk. NIWA's seasonal outlook for near-average temperatures in the Wellington region through August supports this baseline. A sharper-than-expected clear-sky radiative drop or unforecasted polar outbreak could push readings to 6–7°C, while stronger northerly winds or increased cloud would likely keep the minimum above 8°C. Official station data from Kelburn will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日惠灵顿的最低温度？
8月21日惠灵顿的最低温度？
8°C 97%
7°C 3%
6°C 2%
4°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
2°C or below
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
2%
7°C
3%
8°C
97%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
8°C 97%
7°C 3%
6°C 2%
4°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
2°C or below
$221 交易量
<1%
3°C
$192 交易量
<1%
4°C
$194 交易量
1%
5°C
$144 交易量
1%
6°C
$121 交易量
2%
7°C
$138 交易量
3%
8°C
$301 交易量
97%
9°C
$241 交易量
<1%
10°C
$15 交易量
<1%
11°C
$80 交易量
<1%
12°C or higher
$95 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 21 will reach approximately 8°C under stable southerly flow and limited cloud cover, aligning with historical August climatology of 7–9°C lows. Trader consensus at 97% for this outcome reflects consistent model agreement on radiative cooling overnight without significant cold-air advection or frost risk. NIWA's seasonal outlook for near-average temperatures in the Wellington region through August supports this baseline. A sharper-than-expected clear-sky radiative drop or unforecasted polar outbreak could push readings to 6–7°C, while stronger northerly winds or increased cloud would likely keep the minimum above 8°C. Official station data from Kelburn will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
交易量
$1,742结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 21 will reach approximately 8°C under stable southerly flow and limited cloud cover, aligning with historical August climatology of 7–9°C lows. Trader consensus at 97% for this outcome reflects consistent model agreement on radiative cooling overnight without significant cold-air advection or frost risk. NIWA's seasonal outlook for near-average temperatures in the Wellington region through August supports this baseline. A sharper-than-expected clear-sky radiative drop or unforecasted polar outbreak could push readings to 6–7°C, while stronger northerly winds or increased cloud would likely keep the minimum above 8°C. Official station data from Kelburn will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,742结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ETRecent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate Wellington's overnight minimum on August 21 will reach approximately 8°C under stable southerly flow and limited cloud cover, aligning with historical August climatology of 7–9°C lows. Trader consensus at 97% for this outcome reflects consistent model agreement on radiative cooling overnight without significant cold-air advection or frost risk. NIWA's seasonal outlook for near-average temperatures in the Wellington region through August supports this baseline. A sharper-than-expected clear-sky radiative drop or unforecasted polar outbreak could push readings to 6–7°C, while stronger northerly winds or increased cloud would likely keep the minimum above 8°C. Official station data from Kelburn will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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