Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly wind shift overnight on September 16, 2026, advecting cooler maritime air into Wellington and limiting radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and showers. This setup supports a minimum near 11–12 °C, with the tight market spread between those two outcomes reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of the wind change and any localized showers that could suppress the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Strong northwesterlies earlier in the period have kept daytime temperatures elevated around 14–17 °C, but the incoming southeasterly flow and associated frontal passage introduce variability in the minimum reading recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the night will clarify whether the low settles at 12 °C or dips to 11 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日惠灵顿的最低温度？
9月16日惠灵顿的最低温度？
7°C或以下 95%
9°C 95%
10°C 92%
12°C 51%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
7°C或以下
95%
8°C
45%
9°C
95%
10°C
92%
11°C
50%
12°C
51%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
7°C或以下 95%
9°C 95%
10°C 92%
12°C 51%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
95%
8°C
$32 交易量
45%
9°C
$0 交易量
95%
10°C
$58 交易量
92%
11°C
$0 交易量
50%
12°C
$0 交易量
51%
13°C
$2,395 交易量
<1%
14°C
$0 交易量
<1%
15°C
$16 交易量
<1%
16°C
$76 交易量
<1%
17°C或更高
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly wind shift overnight on September 16, 2026, advecting cooler maritime air into Wellington and limiting radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and showers. This setup supports a minimum near 11–12 °C, with the tight market spread between those two outcomes reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of the wind change and any localized showers that could suppress the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Strong northwesterlies earlier in the period have kept daytime temperatures elevated around 14–17 °C, but the incoming southeasterly flow and associated frontal passage introduce variability in the minimum reading recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the night will clarify whether the low settles at 12 °C or dips to 11 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,577结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly wind shift overnight on September 16, 2026, advecting cooler maritime air into Wellington and limiting radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and showers. This setup supports a minimum near 11–12 °C, with the tight market spread between those two outcomes reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of the wind change and any localized showers that could suppress the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Strong northwesterlies earlier in the period have kept daytime temperatures elevated around 14–17 °C, but the incoming southeasterly flow and associated frontal passage introduce variability in the minimum reading recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the night will clarify whether the low settles at 12 °C or dips to 11 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,577结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a southerly wind shift overnight on September 16, 2026, advecting cooler maritime air into Wellington and limiting radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and showers. This setup supports a minimum near 11–12 °C, with the tight market spread between those two outcomes reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of the wind change and any localized showers that could suppress the overnight low by 1–2 °C. Strong northwesterlies earlier in the period have kept daytime temperatures elevated around 14–17 °C, but the incoming southeasterly flow and associated frontal passage introduce variability in the minimum reading recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the night will clarify whether the low settles at 12 °C or dips to 11 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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