**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C low for Wuhan on September 9, 2026 (87% implied probability), with 19°C also prominent at 45%.** Multiple forecast models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration data, project overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clearing skies and northerly flow, yielding a minimum near 19–20°C. Hourly observations show temperatures bottoming around 19–20°C late in the night or early morning, consistent with September climatology for the region as subtropical highs weaken. Stronger consensus on 20°C versus lower odds for 18°C or below reflects the absence of atypical cold advection or clear-sky extremes in current model runs, while warmer outcomes remain improbable given the established cooling trend. Updated guidance from agencies like the National Meteorological Center will refine resolution near the daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日武汉最低气温？
9月9日武汉最低气温？
20°C 96%
18℃或以下 7%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
18℃或以下
7%
19°C
48%
20°C
87%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
20°C 96%
18℃或以下 7%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
18℃或以下
$142 交易量
7%
19°C
$40 交易量
48%
20°C
$304 交易量
87%
21°C
$164 交易量
<1%
22°C
$221 交易量
<1%
23°C
$145 交易量
<1%
24°C
$165 交易量
<1%
25°C
$155 交易量
<1%
26°C
$215 交易量
<1%
27°C
$375 交易量
<1%
28°C或更高
$145 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C low for Wuhan on September 9, 2026 (87% implied probability), with 19°C also prominent at 45%.** Multiple forecast models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration data, project overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clearing skies and northerly flow, yielding a minimum near 19–20°C. Hourly observations show temperatures bottoming around 19–20°C late in the night or early morning, consistent with September climatology for the region as subtropical highs weaken. Stronger consensus on 20°C versus lower odds for 18°C or below reflects the absence of atypical cold advection or clear-sky extremes in current model runs, while warmer outcomes remain improbable given the established cooling trend. Updated guidance from agencies like the National Meteorological Center will refine resolution near the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,070结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C low for Wuhan on September 9, 2026 (87% implied probability), with 19°C also prominent at 45%.** Multiple forecast models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration data, project overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clearing skies and northerly flow, yielding a minimum near 19–20°C. Hourly observations show temperatures bottoming around 19–20°C late in the night or early morning, consistent with September climatology for the region as subtropical highs weaken. Stronger consensus on 20°C versus lower odds for 18°C or below reflects the absence of atypical cold advection or clear-sky extremes in current model runs, while warmer outcomes remain improbable given the established cooling trend. Updated guidance from agencies like the National Meteorological Center will refine resolution near the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,070结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors a 20°C low for Wuhan on September 9, 2026 (87% implied probability), with 19°C also prominent at 45%.** Multiple forecast models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration data, project overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clearing skies and northerly flow, yielding a minimum near 19–20°C. Hourly observations show temperatures bottoming around 19–20°C late in the night or early morning, consistent with September climatology for the region as subtropical highs weaken. Stronger consensus on 20°C versus lower odds for 18°C or below reflects the absence of atypical cold advection or clear-sky extremes in current model runs, while warmer outcomes remain improbable given the established cooling trend. Updated guidance from agencies like the National Meteorological Center will refine resolution near the daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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