**Trader consensus heavily favors a lowest temperature of 25°C or higher (97.5% implied probability) for Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight lows of 25–28°C.** Multiple meteorological sources, including China-focused models and international services, project minimums around 25–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions: high humidity, partial cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows near 22–23°C, but current steering patterns and warm air advection have kept readings elevated. The dominant positioning reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of these stable inputs. Only an unanticipated sharp cold surge or major model revision could realistically push the official station reading below 25°C, an outcome current guidance assigns low likelihood.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日郑州最低气温？
8月25日郑州最低气温？
25°C或更高 100.0%
24°C 1.0%
15℃或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
$3,077 交易量
$3,077 交易量
2026-08-25
15℃或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
是
25°C或更高 100.0%
24°C 1.0%
15℃或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
$3,077 交易量
$3,077 交易量
2026-08-25
15℃或以下
$224 交易量
否
16°C
$417 交易量
否
17°C
$224 交易量
否
18°C
$182 交易量
否
19°C
$224 交易量
否
20°C
$337 交易量
否
21°C
$224 交易量
否
22°C
$217 交易量
否
23°C
$530 交易量
否
24°C
$160 交易量
否
25°C或更高
$339 交易量
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a lowest temperature of 25°C or higher (97.5% implied probability) for Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight lows of 25–28°C.**
Multiple meteorological sources, including China-focused models and international services, project minimums around 25–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions: high humidity, partial cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows near 22–23°C, but current steering patterns and warm air advection have kept readings elevated.
The dominant positioning reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of these stable inputs. Only an unanticipated sharp cold surge or major model revision could realistically push the official station reading below 25°C, an outcome current guidance assigns low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$3,077结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a lowest temperature of 25°C or higher (97.5% implied probability) for Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight lows of 25–28°C.**
Multiple meteorological sources, including China-focused models and international services, project minimums around 25–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions: high humidity, partial cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows near 22–23°C, but current steering patterns and warm air advection have kept readings elevated.
The dominant positioning reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of these stable inputs. Only an unanticipated sharp cold surge or major model revision could realistically push the official station reading below 25°C, an outcome current guidance assigns low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,077结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader consensus heavily favors a lowest temperature of 25°C or higher (97.5% implied probability) for Zhengzhou on August 25, 2026, driven by consistent official forecasts showing overnight lows of 25–28°C.** Multiple meteorological sources, including China-focused models and international services, project minimums around 25–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions: high humidity, partial cloud cover, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August climatology for the region shows average lows near 22–23°C, but current steering patterns and warm air advection have kept readings elevated. The dominant positioning reflects aggregated real-capital assessment of these stable inputs. Only an unanticipated sharp cold surge or major model revision could realistically push the official station reading below 25°C, an outcome current guidance assigns low likelihood.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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