The strong Republican tilt of Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, rated R+15 on the Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus around the Republican nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Representative John Moolenaar faces only nominal Democratic primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026 contest, with no polling or fundraising data indicating a viable challenger. Historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles further reinforce the implied probability, consistent with the seat's rural and suburban voter base. A Democratic path to victory would require an unusually large national swing or turnout surge that overcomes the structural advantages of incumbency and district lines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$42,903 交易量
$42,903 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$42,903 交易量
$42,903 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$21,645 交易量
95%
民主党
$21,258 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, rated R+15 on the Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus around the Republican nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Representative John Moolenaar faces only nominal Democratic primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026 contest, with no polling or fundraising data indicating a viable challenger. Historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles further reinforce the implied probability, consistent with the seat's rural and suburban voter base. A Democratic path to victory would require an unusually large national swing or turnout surge that overcomes the structural advantages of incumbency and district lines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$42,903结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, rated R+15 on the Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus around the Republican nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Representative John Moolenaar faces only nominal Democratic primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026 contest, with no polling or fundraising data indicating a viable challenger. Historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles further reinforce the implied probability, consistent with the seat's rural and suburban voter base. A Democratic path to victory would require an unusually large national swing or turnout surge that overcomes the structural advantages of incumbency and district lines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,903结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican tilt of Michigan's 2nd Congressional District, rated R+15 on the Partisan Voter Index, anchors trader consensus around the Republican nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Representative John Moolenaar faces only nominal Democratic primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026 contest, with no polling or fundraising data indicating a viable challenger. Historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles further reinforce the implied probability, consistent with the seat's rural and suburban voter base. A Democratic path to victory would require an unusually large national swing or turnout surge that overcomes the structural advantages of incumbency and district lines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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