Jeremy Moss holds a commanding 90.5% implied probability as trader consensus frontrunner for the MI-11 Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his mid-April announcement of leading fundraising and cash reserves among candidates vying for the open seat vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' U.S. Senate bid. As Michigan Senate President Pro Tem, Moss benefits from establishment backing, including Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's endorsement, bolstering his path in this Oakland County-heavy district. Challengers like former Rep. Andy Levin trail distant at 4.3%, reflecting limited momentum despite progressive appeal. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, major endorsements for rivals, or shifts in voter turnout among key blocs ahead of early voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Jeremy Moss 91%
安迪·莱文 4.3%
艾莎·法鲁奇 3.5%
唐·厄福德 2.7%
$16,795 交易量
$16,795 交易量
2026-08-04
Jeremy Moss
91%
安迪·莱文
4%
艾莎·法鲁奇
4%
唐·厄福德
3%
戴夫·伍德沃德
2%
Jeremy Moss 91%
安迪·莱文 4.3%
艾莎·法鲁奇 3.5%
唐·厄福德 2.7%
$16,795 交易量
$16,795 交易量
2026-08-04
Jeremy Moss
$7,186 交易量
91%
安迪·莱文
$3,665 交易量
4%
艾莎·法鲁奇
$5,586 交易量
4%
唐·厄福德
$89 交易量
3%
戴夫·伍德沃德
$270 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss holds a commanding 90.5% implied probability as trader consensus frontrunner for the MI-11 Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his mid-April announcement of leading fundraising and cash reserves among candidates vying for the open seat vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' U.S. Senate bid. As Michigan Senate President Pro Tem, Moss benefits from establishment backing, including Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's endorsement, bolstering his path in this Oakland County-heavy district. Challengers like former Rep. Andy Levin trail distant at 4.3%, reflecting limited momentum despite progressive appeal. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, major endorsements for rivals, or shifts in voter turnout among key blocs ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
交易量
$16,795结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss holds a commanding 90.5% implied probability as trader consensus frontrunner for the MI-11 Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his mid-April announcement of leading fundraising and cash reserves among candidates vying for the open seat vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' U.S. Senate bid. As Michigan Senate President Pro Tem, Moss benefits from establishment backing, including Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's endorsement, bolstering his path in this Oakland County-heavy district. Challengers like former Rep. Andy Levin trail distant at 4.3%, reflecting limited momentum despite progressive appeal. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, major endorsements for rivals, or shifts in voter turnout among key blocs ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$16,795结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jeremy Moss holds a commanding 90.5% implied probability as trader consensus frontrunner for the MI-11 Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his mid-April announcement of leading fundraising and cash reserves among candidates vying for the open seat vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' U.S. Senate bid. As Michigan Senate President Pro Tem, Moss benefits from establishment backing, including Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's endorsement, bolstering his path in this Oakland County-heavy district. Challengers like former Rep. Andy Levin trail distant at 4.3%, reflecting limited momentum despite progressive appeal. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, major endorsements for rivals, or shifts in voter turnout among key blocs ahead of early voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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