Montana's solidly Republican political landscape and the party's swift consolidation behind Kurt Alme in the June primary underpin the strong trader preference for a Republican winner in the 2026 Senate race. Alme received endorsements from outgoing Senator Steve Daines and President Trump after Daines withdrew minutes before the March filing deadline, leaving minimal primary opposition. Independent candidate Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president who secured backing from former Senator Jon Tester, has gathered substantial fundraising and must still clear signature requirements by late May to reach the November ballot, where his presence could split the vote in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 2018. Democratic primary contenders trail far behind in both polls and resources.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党 78%
无党派人士 18.3%
民主党 2.2%
$72,988 交易量
$72,988 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
78%
无党派人士
18%
民主党
2%
共和党 78%
无党派人士 18.3%
民主党 2.2%
$72,988 交易量
$72,988 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$37,499 交易量
78%
无党派人士
$1,575 交易量
18%
民主党
$33,914 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Montana's solidly Republican political landscape and the party's swift consolidation behind Kurt Alme in the June primary underpin the strong trader preference for a Republican winner in the 2026 Senate race. Alme received endorsements from outgoing Senator Steve Daines and President Trump after Daines withdrew minutes before the March filing deadline, leaving minimal primary opposition. Independent candidate Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president who secured backing from former Senator Jon Tester, has gathered substantial fundraising and must still clear signature requirements by late May to reach the November ballot, where his presence could split the vote in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 2018. Democratic primary contenders trail far behind in both polls and resources.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$72,988结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Montana's solidly Republican political landscape and the party's swift consolidation behind Kurt Alme in the June primary underpin the strong trader preference for a Republican winner in the 2026 Senate race. Alme received endorsements from outgoing Senator Steve Daines and President Trump after Daines withdrew minutes before the March filing deadline, leaving minimal primary opposition. Independent candidate Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president who secured backing from former Senator Jon Tester, has gathered substantial fundraising and must still clear signature requirements by late May to reach the November ballot, where his presence could split the vote in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 2018. Democratic primary contenders trail far behind in both polls and resources.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$72,988结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana's solidly Republican political landscape and the party's swift consolidation behind Kurt Alme in the June primary underpin the strong trader preference for a Republican winner in the 2026 Senate race. Alme received endorsements from outgoing Senator Steve Daines and President Trump after Daines withdrew minutes before the March filing deadline, leaving minimal primary opposition. Independent candidate Seth Bodnar, the former University of Montana president who secured backing from former Senator Jon Tester, has gathered substantial fundraising and must still clear signature requirements by late May to reach the November ballot, where his presence could split the vote in a state that has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 2018. Democratic primary contenders trail far behind in both polls and resources.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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