Trump's December 2025 endorsement of Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, combined with U.S. Representative Elise Stefanik's withdrawal from the race, has consolidated Republican support behind Blakeman ahead of the 2026 New York gubernatorial primary. State party leaders formally designated him the nominee at their February convention, leaving limited room for challengers such as Pat Hahn or Betsy McCaughey to gain traction. Traders have priced this outcome at 95 percent for Blakeman, reflecting the absence of viable alternatives and strong institutional backing. A late surge by an unannounced candidate, a major scandal, or an unforeseen shift in party rules could still reopen the contest before the primary concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于布鲁斯·布莱克曼 95%
埃莉斯·斯特凡尼克 2.2%
帕特·哈恩 2.1%
贝齐·麦考伊 <1%
$90,583 交易量
$90,583 交易量
布鲁斯·布莱克曼
95%
埃莉斯·斯特凡尼克
2%
帕特·哈恩
2%
贝齐·麦考伊
1%
大卫·塔利
<1%
布鲁斯·布莱克曼 95%
埃莉斯·斯特凡尼克 2.2%
帕特·哈恩 2.1%
贝齐·麦考伊 <1%
$90,583 交易量
$90,583 交易量
布鲁斯·布莱克曼
95%
埃莉斯·斯特凡尼克
2%
帕特·哈恩
2%
贝齐·麦考伊
1%
大卫·塔利
<1%
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间: Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trump's December 2025 endorsement of Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, combined with U.S. Representative Elise Stefanik's withdrawal from the race, has consolidated Republican support behind Blakeman ahead of the 2026 New York gubernatorial primary. State party leaders formally designated him the nominee at their February convention, leaving limited room for challengers such as Pat Hahn or Betsy McCaughey to gain traction. Traders have priced this outcome at 95 percent for Blakeman, reflecting the absence of viable alternatives and strong institutional backing. A late surge by an unannounced candidate, a major scandal, or an unforeseen shift in party rules could still reopen the contest before the primary concludes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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