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icon for 下一任丹麦首相?

下一任丹麦首相?

icon for 下一任丹麦首相?

下一任丹麦首相?

梅特·弗雷泽里克森 74%

拉斯·卢克·拉斯穆森 9.5%

特罗尔斯·伦·波尔森 8.0%

亚历克斯·范欧普斯拉格 <1%

Polymarket

$8,677,855 交易量

梅特·弗雷泽里克森 74%

拉斯·卢克·拉斯穆森 9.5%

特罗尔斯·伦·波尔森 8.0%

亚历克斯·范欧普斯拉格 <1%

Polymarket

$8,677,855 交易量

icon for 梅特·弗雷泽里克森

梅特·弗雷泽里克森

$1,541,348 交易量

74%

icon for 拉斯·卢克·拉斯穆森

拉斯·卢克·拉斯穆森

$2,114,020 交易量

10%

icon for 特罗尔斯·伦·波尔森

特罗尔斯·伦·波尔森

$1,238,228 交易量

8%

icon for 亚历克斯·范欧普斯拉格

亚历克斯·范欧普斯拉格

$720,223 交易量

1%

icon for 马丁·利德高

马丁·利德高

$70,991 交易量

<1%

icon for 拉斯·博耶·马蒂森

拉斯·博耶·马蒂森

$446,242 交易量

<1%

icon for 莫滕·梅瑟施密特

莫滕·梅瑟施密特

$2,133,250 交易量

<1%

icon for 莫娜·尤尔

莫娜·尤尔

$152,737 交易量

<1%

icon for 英厄·斯托伊贝格

英厄·斯托伊贝格

$45,439 交易量

<1%

icon for 皮娅·奥尔森·迪尔

皮娅·奥尔森·迪尔

$141,372 交易量

<1%

icon for 佩莱·德拉格斯特

佩莱·德拉格斯特

$74,005 交易量

<1%

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mette Frederiksen holds the strongest position in ongoing coalition negotiations following the March 2026 Danish parliamentary election, where her Social Democrats secured the largest share of seats but fell short of a majority in the 179-seat Folketing. This outcome has kept her as the leading contender for prime minister amid fragmented results across left and right blocs. Recent developments, including extended talks and a temporary royal mandate shift to Venstre's Troels Lund Poulsen in early May, have introduced uncertainty without displacing her frontrunner status among traders. Lars Løkke Rasmussen of the Moderates and other party leaders remain secondary options due to their smaller seat counts and pivotal but limited kingmaker roles in potential center-right or cross-bloc arrangements.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$8,677,855
结束日期
2026-03-24
市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mette Frederiksen holds the strongest position in ongoing coalition negotiations following the March 2026 Danish parliamentary election, where her Social Democrats secured the largest share of seats but fell short of a majority in the 179-seat Folketing. This outcome has kept her as the leading contender for prime minister amid fragmented results across left and right blocs. Recent developments, including extended talks and a temporary royal mandate shift to Venstre's Troels Lund Poulsen in early May, have introduced uncertainty without displacing her frontrunner status among traders. Lars Løkke Rasmussen of the Moderates and other party leaders remain secondary options due to their smaller seat counts and pivotal but limited kingmaker roles in potential center-right or cross-bloc arrangements.

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$8,677,855
结束日期
2026-03-24
市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of Denmark following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Prime Minister by the Danish monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"下一任丹麦首相?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"梅特·弗雷泽里克森",概率为 74%,其次是"拉斯·卢克·拉斯穆森",概率为 10%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 74¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 74%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"下一任丹麦首相?"已产生 $8.7 million 的总交易量(自Feb 27, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"下一任丹麦首相?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"下一任丹麦首相?"的当前领先者是"梅特·弗雷泽里克森",概率为 74%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 74%。紧随其后的结果是"拉斯·卢克·拉斯穆森",概率为 10%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"下一任丹麦首相?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。