Hakeem Jeffries's incumbency anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold in New York's 8th congressional district, a seat rated solid Democratic with a D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Jeffries secured 75 percent in 2024 against a weak Republican opponent, reflecting the district's heavy Democratic registration advantage and urban Brooklyn core. No high-profile GOP candidate has emerged ahead of the June 23 primary or November general election, leaving the Republican nominee likely to trail significantly. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected Democratic primary challenge, recruitment of a stronger Republican contender, a personal scandal involving Jeffries, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave that alters turnout patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,214 交易量
$21,214 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
$21,214 交易量
$21,214 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$11,494 交易量
92%
共和党
$9,719 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries's incumbency anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold in New York's 8th congressional district, a seat rated solid Democratic with a D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Jeffries secured 75 percent in 2024 against a weak Republican opponent, reflecting the district's heavy Democratic registration advantage and urban Brooklyn core. No high-profile GOP candidate has emerged ahead of the June 23 primary or November general election, leaving the Republican nominee likely to trail significantly. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected Democratic primary challenge, recruitment of a stronger Republican contender, a personal scandal involving Jeffries, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave that alters turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$21,214结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries's incumbency anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold in New York's 8th congressional district, a seat rated solid Democratic with a D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Jeffries secured 75 percent in 2024 against a weak Republican opponent, reflecting the district's heavy Democratic registration advantage and urban Brooklyn core. No high-profile GOP candidate has emerged ahead of the June 23 primary or November general election, leaving the Republican nominee likely to trail significantly. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected Democratic primary challenge, recruitment of a stronger Republican contender, a personal scandal involving Jeffries, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave that alters turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,214结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hakeem Jeffries's incumbency anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold in New York's 8th congressional district, a seat rated solid Democratic with a D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Jeffries secured 75 percent in 2024 against a weak Republican opponent, reflecting the district's heavy Democratic registration advantage and urban Brooklyn core. No high-profile GOP candidate has emerged ahead of the June 23 primary or November general election, leaving the Republican nominee likely to trail significantly. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected Democratic primary challenge, recruitment of a stronger Republican contender, a personal scandal involving Jeffries, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave that alters turnout patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题