Recent polls in conservative strongholds such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap show the People Power Party holding narrow leads over Democratic Party challengers, supporting trader expectations for two or three by-election wins on June 3. Finalized nominations across at least four National Assembly districts, combined with low national PPP support near 20 percent, have kept outcomes tightly contested. Internal party splits, including former leader Han Dong-hoon running independently in Busan Buk-gu, introduce vote fragmentation risks that could cap gains at two seats. Third-party candidacies and turnout patterns in battleground areas add further uncertainty to single-member district results ahead of the combined local and by-election vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于3 49%
2 31%
1 14.9%
4 8.3%
$39,171 交易量
$39,171 交易量
0
5%
1
9%
2
31%
3
45%
4
8%
5
3%
6+
1%
3 49%
2 31%
1 14.9%
4 8.3%
$39,171 交易量
$39,171 交易量
0
5%
1
9%
2
31%
3
45%
4
8%
5
3%
6+
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
市场开放时间: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls in conservative strongholds such as Daegu Dalseong and Ulsan Nam-gu Gap show the People Power Party holding narrow leads over Democratic Party challengers, supporting trader expectations for two or three by-election wins on June 3. Finalized nominations across at least four National Assembly districts, combined with low national PPP support near 20 percent, have kept outcomes tightly contested. Internal party splits, including former leader Han Dong-hoon running independently in Busan Buk-gu, introduce vote fragmentation risks that could cap gains at two seats. Third-party candidacies and turnout patterns in battleground areas add further uncertainty to single-member district results ahead of the combined local and by-election vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题