The Paraíba 2026 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented and competitive heading into October, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty across a wide field rather than any dominant frontrunner. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from late May showed Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in a technical first-round tie at roughly 30% and 28%, followed by Efraim Filho (PL) near 19%, consistent with earlier surveys that have fluctuated between these names since early 2026. Cícero Lucena’s April resignation as João Pessoa mayor to enter the contest consolidated some MDB-aligned support but has not produced a clear separation, while alliances, regional voting patterns in Campina Grande and the interior, and second-round runoff dynamics continue to keep multiple outcomes viable in the eyes of bettors. No major new endorsements, scandals, or campaign shifts have altered the balance in the past month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于西塞罗·卢塞纳 32%
埃夫拉因·菲略 31%
马塞洛·奎罗加 7.3%
罗梅罗·罗德里格斯 7.3%
$16,077 交易量
$16,077 交易量
2026-10-05
西塞罗·卢塞纳
32%
埃夫拉因·菲略
31%
马塞洛·奎罗加
23%
罗梅罗·罗德里格斯
7%
Nilvan Ferreira
6%
弗拉维奥·卢西奥
2%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
西塞罗·卢塞纳 32%
埃夫拉因·菲略 31%
马塞洛·奎罗加 7.3%
罗梅罗·罗德里格斯 7.3%
$16,077 交易量
$16,077 交易量
2026-10-05
西塞罗·卢塞纳
$12,558 交易量
32%
埃夫拉因·菲略
$1,014 交易量
31%
马塞洛·奎罗加
$131 交易量
23%
罗梅罗·罗德里格斯
$735 交易量
7%
Nilvan Ferreira
$81 交易量
6%
弗拉维奥·卢西奥
$170 交易量
2%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$1,389 交易量
1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba 2026 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented and competitive heading into October, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty across a wide field rather than any dominant frontrunner. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from late May showed Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in a technical first-round tie at roughly 30% and 28%, followed by Efraim Filho (PL) near 19%, consistent with earlier surveys that have fluctuated between these names since early 2026. Cícero Lucena’s April resignation as João Pessoa mayor to enter the contest consolidated some MDB-aligned support but has not produced a clear separation, while alliances, regional voting patterns in Campina Grande and the interior, and second-round runoff dynamics continue to keep multiple outcomes viable in the eyes of bettors. No major new endorsements, scandals, or campaign shifts have altered the balance in the past month.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
交易量
$16,077结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba 2026 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented and competitive heading into October, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty across a wide field rather than any dominant frontrunner. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from late May showed Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in a technical first-round tie at roughly 30% and 28%, followed by Efraim Filho (PL) near 19%, consistent with earlier surveys that have fluctuated between these names since early 2026. Cícero Lucena’s April resignation as João Pessoa mayor to enter the contest consolidated some MDB-aligned support but has not produced a clear separation, while alliances, regional voting patterns in Campina Grande and the interior, and second-round runoff dynamics continue to keep multiple outcomes viable in the eyes of bettors. No major new endorsements, scandals, or campaign shifts have altered the balance in the past month.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$16,077结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba 2026 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented and competitive heading into October, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty across a wide field rather than any dominant frontrunner. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from late May showed Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in a technical first-round tie at roughly 30% and 28%, followed by Efraim Filho (PL) near 19%, consistent with earlier surveys that have fluctuated between these names since early 2026. Cícero Lucena’s April resignation as João Pessoa mayor to enter the contest consolidated some MDB-aligned support but has not produced a clear separation, while alliances, regional voting patterns in Campina Grande and the interior, and second-round runoff dynamics continue to keep multiple outcomes viable in the eyes of bettors. No major new endorsements, scandals, or campaign shifts have altered the balance in the past month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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