Official ONPE results with 99.99% of actas processed as of May 14 confirm first-round presidential election turnout at 73.79%, with 20.16 million votes cast out of 27.33 million registered voters, driving trader consensus to overwhelming implied probability on the 70-75% bin. This reflects resilience amid severe logistical disruptions—30% of polling tables delayed by missing materials, prompting voting extensions to April 13 and protracted manual counts for rural and overseas ballots—plus extreme fragmentation among over 35 candidates fostering voter disillusionment evidenced by 17% blank and null votes. Historical turnout averages around 81%, but recent instability aligned expectations lower. Final certification by the National Jury of Elections (JNE) awaits, though only extraordinary recount reversals could shift the figure now.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于70-75% 97.4%
80-85% <1%
75-80% <1%
低于70% <1%
$259,221 交易量
$259,221 交易量
2026-04-12
低于70%
<1%
70-75%
97%
75-80%
<1%
80-85%
1%
> 85%
<1%
70-75% 97.4%
80-85% <1%
75-80% <1%
低于70% <1%
$259,221 交易量
$259,221 交易量
2026-04-12
低于70%
$33,415 交易量
<1%
70-75%
$70,771 交易量
97%
75-80%
$48,838 交易量
<1%
80-85%
$95,650 交易量
1%
> 85%
$10,548 交易量
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Official ONPE results with 99.99% of actas processed as of May 14 confirm first-round presidential election turnout at 73.79%, with 20.16 million votes cast out of 27.33 million registered voters, driving trader consensus to overwhelming implied probability on the 70-75% bin. This reflects resilience amid severe logistical disruptions—30% of polling tables delayed by missing materials, prompting voting extensions to April 13 and protracted manual counts for rural and overseas ballots—plus extreme fragmentation among over 35 candidates fostering voter disillusionment evidenced by 17% blank and null votes. Historical turnout averages around 81%, but recent instability aligned expectations lower. Final certification by the National Jury of Elections (JNE) awaits, though only extraordinary recount reversals could shift the figure now.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
交易量
$259,221结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Official ONPE results with 99.99% of actas processed as of May 14 confirm first-round presidential election turnout at 73.79%, with 20.16 million votes cast out of 27.33 million registered voters, driving trader consensus to overwhelming implied probability on the 70-75% bin. This reflects resilience amid severe logistical disruptions—30% of polling tables delayed by missing materials, prompting voting extensions to April 13 and protracted manual counts for rural and overseas ballots—plus extreme fragmentation among over 35 candidates fostering voter disillusionment evidenced by 17% blank and null votes. Historical turnout averages around 81%, but recent instability aligned expectations lower. Final certification by the National Jury of Elections (JNE) awaits, though only extraordinary recount reversals could shift the figure now.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
交易量
$259,221结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official ONPE results with 99.99% of actas processed as of May 14 confirm first-round presidential election turnout at 73.79%, with 20.16 million votes cast out of 27.33 million registered voters, driving trader consensus to overwhelming implied probability on the 70-75% bin. This reflects resilience amid severe logistical disruptions—30% of polling tables delayed by missing materials, prompting voting extensions to April 13 and protracted manual counts for rural and overseas ballots—plus extreme fragmentation among over 35 candidates fostering voter disillusionment evidenced by 17% blank and null votes. Historical turnout averages around 81%, but recent instability aligned expectations lower. Final certification by the National Jury of Elections (JNE) awaits, though only extraordinary recount reversals could shift the figure now.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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