Recent unification between Democratic Party candidate Kim Sang-wook and Progressive Party candidate Kim Jong-hoon through a public-opinion-poll primary has consolidated the progressive vote ahead of the June 3 local elections, elevating trader-implied probabilities for Kim Sang-wook to a slim lead. Pre-unification surveys showed incumbent People Power Party candidate Kim Doo-kyum holding a narrow edge within the margin of error, while the agreement has narrowed the contest and positioned the unified progressive side as the frontrunner in market pricing. Low probabilities for independent Park Maeng-woo reflect limited support outside the major camps, with ongoing campaign focus on local issues such as bus route changes and candidate records shaping voter sentiment in the remaining weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Kim Sang-wook 62%
Kim Doo-kyum 41%
金钟勋 1.8%
朴孟佑 <1%
$42,528 交易量
$42,528 交易量

Kim Sang-wook
60%

Kim Doo-kyum
41%

金钟勋
2%

朴孟佑
<1%
Kim Sang-wook 62%
Kim Doo-kyum 41%
金钟勋 1.8%
朴孟佑 <1%
$42,528 交易量
$42,528 交易量

Kim Sang-wook
60%

Kim Doo-kyum
41%

金钟勋
2%

朴孟佑
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
市场开放时间: Apr 23, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent unification between Democratic Party candidate Kim Sang-wook and Progressive Party candidate Kim Jong-hoon through a public-opinion-poll primary has consolidated the progressive vote ahead of the June 3 local elections, elevating trader-implied probabilities for Kim Sang-wook to a slim lead. Pre-unification surveys showed incumbent People Power Party candidate Kim Doo-kyum holding a narrow edge within the margin of error, while the agreement has narrowed the contest and positioned the unified progressive side as the frontrunner in market pricing. Low probabilities for independent Park Maeng-woo reflect limited support outside the major camps, with ongoing campaign focus on local issues such as bus route changes and candidate records shaping voter sentiment in the remaining weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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