Aly Richards has emerged as the frontrunner in Vermont's Democratic primary for governor, set for August 11, with trader consensus at 52 percent reflecting her April 2026 campaign launch and background as former CEO of Let’s Grow Kids. Her emphasis on child care expansion, housing costs, and rural economic issues has drawn early support in a party seeking a strong challenger to Republican incumbent Phil Scott. State Treasurer Mike Pieciak trails at 8.5 percent amid no gubernatorial announcement and focus on his current role, while Attorney General Charity Clark’s 2.1 percent odds align with her decision to seek re-election instead. Minor candidate Esther Charlestin holds similar low probability. The May 28 filing deadline remains the next key procedural step that could shape the final field before primary voting.