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icon for NY-17民主党初选获胜者

NY-17民主党初选获胜者

icon for NY-17民主党初选获胜者

NY-17民主党初选获胜者

贝丝·戴维森 43%

凯特·康利 37%

埃菲·菲利普斯-斯塔利 21.1%

彼得·查茨基 1.5%

Polymarket

$60,779 交易量

贝丝·戴维森 43%

凯特·康利 37%

埃菲·菲利普斯-斯塔利 21.1%

彼得·查茨基 1.5%

Polymarket

$60,779 交易量

贝丝·戴维森

$23,680 交易量

43%

凯特·康利

$27,695 交易量

37%

埃菲·菲利普斯-斯塔利

$1,449 交易量

21%

彼得·查茨基

$3,570 交易量

2%

约翰·卡佩洛

$869 交易量

<1%

约翰·沙利文

$1,443 交易量

<1%

迈克·萨克斯

$1,147 交易量

<1%

杰西卡·赖因曼

$927 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Democratic primary for New York's 17th congressional district remains tightly contested ahead of the June 23 vote, with trader sentiment reflecting the balance among three leading candidates' distinct profiles. Beth Davidson draws strength from her record as a Rockland County legislator and proven local electoral success in competitive areas, while Cait Conley emphasizes her Army background and national security experience to broaden appeal in this swing district. Effie Phillips-Staley competes for progressive support through her local trustee role and policy focus. County endorsements have split along geographic lines, recent forums have underscored differences on foreign policy and community priorities without shifting momentum decisively, and modest fundraising gaps have kept the race fluid among the top contenders.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$60,779
结束日期
2026-06-23
市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The Democratic primary for New York's 17th congressional district remains tightly contested ahead of the June 23 vote, with trader sentiment reflecting the balance among three leading candidates' distinct profiles. Beth Davidson draws strength from her record as a Rockland County legislator and proven local electoral success in competitive areas, while Cait Conley emphasizes her Army background and national security experience to broaden appeal in this swing district. Effie Phillips-Staley competes for progressive support through her local trustee role and policy focus. County endorsements have split along geographic lines, recent forums have underscored differences on foreign policy and community priorities without shifting momentum decisively, and modest fundraising gaps have kept the race fluid among the top contenders.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$60,779
结束日期
2026-06-23
市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"NY-17民主党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"贝丝·戴维森",概率为 43%,其次是"凯特·康利",概率为 37%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 43¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 43%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"NY-17民主党初选获胜者"已产生 $60.8K 的总交易量(自Nov 25, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"NY-17民主党初选获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"NY-17民主党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"贝丝·戴维森",概率为 43%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 43%。紧随其后的结果是"凯特·康利",概率为 37%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"NY-17民主党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。