U.S. economic pressure on Cuba has intensified since January 2026 through a fuel import blockade, tariffs on third-country suppliers, and sanctions tied to the prior Venezuela operation, producing shortages and negotiations rhetoric from the Trump administration. Military signaling has included carrier deployments, surveillance flights, and indictments of Cuban officials, yet analysts describe a full invasion as the least probable option among scenarios under review due to risks of urban fighting, insurgency, and domestic political costs amid other priorities. No ground operation or regime-change landing has materialized by mid-August, sustaining trader consensus that the implied probability of an invasion before year-end remains low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
8% 概率
$3,252,591 交易量
$3,252,591 交易量
2026-12-31
是
8% 概率
$3,252,591 交易量
$3,252,591 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.U.S. economic pressure on Cuba has intensified since January 2026 through a fuel import blockade, tariffs on third-country suppliers, and sanctions tied to the prior Venezuela operation, producing shortages and negotiations rhetoric from the Trump administration. Military signaling has included carrier deployments, surveillance flights, and indictments of Cuban officials, yet analysts describe a full invasion as the least probable option among scenarios under review due to risks of urban fighting, insurgency, and domestic political costs amid other priorities. No ground operation or regime-change landing has materialized by mid-August, sustaining trader consensus that the implied probability of an invasion before year-end remains low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
交易量
$3,252,591结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.U.S. economic pressure on Cuba has intensified since January 2026 through a fuel import blockade, tariffs on third-country suppliers, and sanctions tied to the prior Venezuela operation, producing shortages and negotiations rhetoric from the Trump administration. Military signaling has included carrier deployments, surveillance flights, and indictments of Cuban officials, yet analysts describe a full invasion as the least probable option among scenarios under review due to risks of urban fighting, insurgency, and domestic political costs amid other priorities. No ground operation or regime-change landing has materialized by mid-August, sustaining trader consensus that the implied probability of an invasion before year-end remains low.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$3,252,591结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. economic pressure on Cuba has intensified since January 2026 through a fuel import blockade, tariffs on third-country suppliers, and sanctions tied to the prior Venezuela operation, producing shortages and negotiations rhetoric from the Trump administration. Military signaling has included carrier deployments, surveillance flights, and indictments of Cuban officials, yet analysts describe a full invasion as the least probable option among scenarios under review due to risks of urban fighting, insurgency, and domestic political costs amid other priorities. No ground operation or regime-change landing has materialized by mid-August, sustaining trader consensus that the implied probability of an invasion before year-end remains low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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