Özgür Özel, leader of Turkey’s main opposition CHP, faces no active arrest warrant or imminent detention proceeding as of mid-June 2026. A May appeals court ruling annulled the party’s 2023 congress and removed him from the chairmanship amid allegations of voting irregularities, prompting detentions of other CHP figures in the same probe, yet Özel himself has remained at liberty while directing efforts to convene an extraordinary congress through mass resignations from the party assembly. Traders assign a 97.4% probability against arrest by June 30 because the judicial actions to date have emphasized leadership disqualification and internal party disruption rather than personal detention. A rapid escalation via new charges or enforcement of prior investigations could still alter the outcome within the narrow window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,925 交易量
$28,925 交易量
2026-06-30
$28,925 交易量
$28,925 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Özgür Özel, leader of Turkey’s main opposition CHP, faces no active arrest warrant or imminent detention proceeding as of mid-June 2026. A May appeals court ruling annulled the party’s 2023 congress and removed him from the chairmanship amid allegations of voting irregularities, prompting detentions of other CHP figures in the same probe, yet Özel himself has remained at liberty while directing efforts to convene an extraordinary congress through mass resignations from the party assembly. Traders assign a 97.4% probability against arrest by June 30 because the judicial actions to date have emphasized leadership disqualification and internal party disruption rather than personal detention. A rapid escalation via new charges or enforcement of prior investigations could still alter the outcome within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ET
交易量
$28,925结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Özgür Özel, leader of Turkey’s main opposition CHP, faces no active arrest warrant or imminent detention proceeding as of mid-June 2026. A May appeals court ruling annulled the party’s 2023 congress and removed him from the chairmanship amid allegations of voting irregularities, prompting detentions of other CHP figures in the same probe, yet Özel himself has remained at liberty while directing efforts to convene an extraordinary congress through mass resignations from the party assembly. Traders assign a 97.4% probability against arrest by June 30 because the judicial actions to date have emphasized leadership disqualification and internal party disruption rather than personal detention. A rapid escalation via new charges or enforcement of prior investigations could still alter the outcome within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$28,925结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 24, 2026, 9:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Özgür Özel, leader of Turkey’s main opposition CHP, faces no active arrest warrant or imminent detention proceeding as of mid-June 2026. A May appeals court ruling annulled the party’s 2023 congress and removed him from the chairmanship amid allegations of voting irregularities, prompting detentions of other CHP figures in the same probe, yet Özel himself has remained at liberty while directing efforts to convene an extraordinary congress through mass resignations from the party assembly. Traders assign a 97.4% probability against arrest by June 30 because the judicial actions to date have emphasized leadership disqualification and internal party disruption rather than personal detention. A rapid escalation via new charges or enforcement of prior investigations could still alter the outcome within the narrow window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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