Trump’s approval rating has remained mired in the low-to-mid 30s through mid-August 2026, with recent aggregates from sources such as the New York Times, Economist/YouGov, and Nate Silver’s tracker showing figures between 33% and 38% amid net negatives of roughly –20 to –27 points. The ongoing conflict with Iran, including U.S. casualties, elevated gas prices, and sustained public opposition to military involvement, has weighed heavily on ratings across parties. Economic concerns over affordability and cost-of-living pressures have further eroded support, particularly among independents and younger voters. With the November midterms approaching, these dynamics have produced a steady downward trend since earlier in the second term and limited near-term catalysts that could lift the yearly peak.