Recent National Weather Service model runs place Austin’s daily high near 88–90°F today under a strong high-pressure ridge that promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and efficient solar heating across central Texas. Low-level moisture remains limited, reducing afternoon cloud cover and allowing surface temperatures to climb rapidly after sunrise, with peak readings expected between 3 and 5 p.m. CDT. Historical May climatology shows average highs of 86–87°F, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly consistent with the market’s 54 % probability on 88–89°F and 40 % on 90°F or higher. Updated short-range guidance through midday will refine the exact maximum before resolution by the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
88-89°F 54%
90°F or higher 41%
86-87°F 9%
80-81°F <1%
$44,734 Vol.
$44,734 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
54%
90°F or higher
41%
88-89°F 54%
90°F or higher 41%
86-87°F 9%
80-81°F <1%
$44,734 Vol.
$44,734 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
80-81°F
$3,704 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,475 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,430 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$3,724 Vol.
9%
88-89°F
$3,122 Vol.
54%
90°F or higher
$4,854 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model runs place Austin’s daily high near 88–90°F today under a strong high-pressure ridge that promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and efficient solar heating across central Texas. Low-level moisture remains limited, reducing afternoon cloud cover and allowing surface temperatures to climb rapidly after sunrise, with peak readings expected between 3 and 5 p.m. CDT. Historical May climatology shows average highs of 86–87°F, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly consistent with the market’s 54 % probability on 88–89°F and 40 % on 90°F or higher. Updated short-range guidance through midday will refine the exact maximum before resolution by the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$44,734Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model runs place Austin’s daily high near 88–90°F today under a strong high-pressure ridge that promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and efficient solar heating across central Texas. Low-level moisture remains limited, reducing afternoon cloud cover and allowing surface temperatures to climb rapidly after sunrise, with peak readings expected between 3 and 5 p.m. CDT. Historical May climatology shows average highs of 86–87°F, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly consistent with the market’s 54 % probability on 88–89°F and 40 % on 90°F or higher. Updated short-range guidance through midday will refine the exact maximum before resolution by the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$44,734Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Recent National Weather Service model runs place Austin’s daily high near 88–90°F today under a strong high-pressure ridge that promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and efficient solar heating across central Texas. Low-level moisture remains limited, reducing afternoon cloud cover and allowing surface temperatures to climb rapidly after sunrise, with peak readings expected between 3 and 5 p.m. CDT. Historical May climatology shows average highs of 86–87°F, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly consistent with the market’s 54 % probability on 88–89°F and 40 % on 90°F or higher. Updated short-range guidance through midday will refine the exact maximum before resolution by the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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