Recent observational data from the Austin Bergstrom International Airport station confirm a daily high of at least 90°F on May 16, driving the market-implied odds for that outcome to 100%. Clear skies, southerly flow, and a warm air mass under high pressure favored strong daytime heating typical of mid-May climatology in central Texas, where afternoon temperatures frequently climb above seasonal averages. Official National Weather Service records and model verification show minimal cloud cover or precipitation interference, eliminating realistic pathways for cooler readings. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or station measurement revision could alter resolution, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given the completed observation period.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Austin on May 16?
$62,095 Vol.
$62,095 Vol.
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
100%
$62,095 Vol.
$62,095 Vol.
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Recent observational data from the Austin Bergstrom International Airport station confirm a daily high of at least 90°F on May 16, driving the market-implied odds for that outcome to 100%. Clear skies, southerly flow, and a warm air mass under high pressure favored strong daytime heating typical of mid-May climatology in central Texas, where afternoon temperatures frequently climb above seasonal averages. Official National Weather Service records and model verification show minimal cloud cover or precipitation interference, eliminating realistic pathways for cooler readings. Only an unexpected late-day cooling event or station measurement revision could alter resolution, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given the completed observation period.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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