**Latest forecast guidance positions the June 17 maximum in Buenos Aires near 14°C, with model ensembles showing comparable likelihood of 15°C depending on frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing.** Official sources including timeanddate and extended-range outlooks list a daytime high of 57°F (14°C) under broken clouds, consistent with the seasonal June average of 15°C and recent observed maxima around 14–17°C. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 14°C (42.5%) and 15°C (37.5%) outcomes because small differences in southerly flow off the Río de la Plata or the exact passage of a weak cold front can shift the peak by 1°C. Warmer 16°C+ scenarios remain low-probability outliers tied to stronger subsidence or delayed frontal arrival, while cooler readings hinge on earlier or stronger maritime advection. With resolution just hours away, market-implied odds closely track the narrow spread in current numerical weather prediction runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Buenos Aires am 17. Juni?
14°C 41%
15°C 37%
16°C 9%
13°C 8%
9°C oder niedriger
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
41%
15°C
37%
16°C
9%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 41%
15°C 37%
16°C 9%
13°C 8%
9°C oder niedriger
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
41%
15°C
37%
16°C
9%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecast guidance positions the June 17 maximum in Buenos Aires near 14°C, with model ensembles showing comparable likelihood of 15°C depending on frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing.** Official sources including timeanddate and extended-range outlooks list a daytime high of 57°F (14°C) under broken clouds, consistent with the seasonal June average of 15°C and recent observed maxima around 14–17°C. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 14°C (42.5%) and 15°C (37.5%) outcomes because small differences in southerly flow off the Río de la Plata or the exact passage of a weak cold front can shift the peak by 1°C. Warmer 16°C+ scenarios remain low-probability outliers tied to stronger subsidence or delayed frontal arrival, while cooler readings hinge on earlier or stronger maritime advection. With resolution just hours away, market-implied odds closely track the narrow spread in current numerical weather prediction runs.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen