Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts and surface observations for Lucknow indicate a maximum temperature of 41°C or below today, underpinning the 64% market-implied probability for that outcome. In the pre-monsoon period, high solar insolation and low humidity normally drive May highs near 39–42°C, yet current steering patterns and the lack of strong westerly disturbances have limited intensification. Ensemble model runs show consistent guidance around 39–41°C, with minimal spread in peak values. Historical climatology places average Lucknow maxima near 40°C this week, and the absence of recent heatwave alerts supports trader consensus around the lower brackets ahead of final station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Lucknow am 17. Mai?
41°C or below 62%
42°C 30%
43°C 5.4%
44°C 2.5%
$17,797 Vol.
$17,797 Vol.
41°C or below
62%
42°C
30%
43°C
5%
44°C
2%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 62%
42°C 30%
43°C 5.4%
44°C 2.5%
$17,797 Vol.
$17,797 Vol.
41°C or below
62%
42°C
30%
43°C
5%
44°C
2%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKRecent India Meteorological Department forecasts and surface observations for Lucknow indicate a maximum temperature of 41°C or below today, underpinning the 64% market-implied probability for that outcome. In the pre-monsoon period, high solar insolation and low humidity normally drive May highs near 39–42°C, yet current steering patterns and the lack of strong westerly disturbances have limited intensification. Ensemble model runs show consistent guidance around 39–41°C, with minimal spread in peak values. Historical climatology places average Lucknow maxima near 40°C this week, and the absence of recent heatwave alerts supports trader consensus around the lower brackets ahead of final station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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