Current meteorological forecasts from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models project a maximum of 20°C in Madrid on May 16, supported by persistent high-pressure dominance and northerly airflow limiting warm-air advection from the south. Mid-May climatological averages near 22°C have been offset by recent cool anomalies, with real-time observations throughout the day confirming this trajectory and minimal model spread. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the strong alignment of verified data with resolution criteria for the official daily high. An unanticipated late-day wind shift or localized urban heating could theoretically elevate readings, though current atmospheric conditions make such deviations highly unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$84,891 Vol.
$84,891 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$84,891 Vol.
$84,891 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
20°C
$10,832 Vol.
100%
21°C
$11,955 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$10,022 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,884 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,168 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$2,529 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models project a maximum of 20°C in Madrid on May 16, supported by persistent high-pressure dominance and northerly airflow limiting warm-air advection from the south. Mid-May climatological averages near 22°C have been offset by recent cool anomalies, with real-time observations throughout the day confirming this trajectory and minimal model spread. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the strong alignment of verified data with resolution criteria for the official daily high. An unanticipated late-day wind shift or localized urban heating could theoretically elevate readings, though current atmospheric conditions make such deviations highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$84,891Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models project a maximum of 20°C in Madrid on May 16, supported by persistent high-pressure dominance and northerly airflow limiting warm-air advection from the south. Mid-May climatological averages near 22°C have been offset by recent cool anomalies, with real-time observations throughout the day confirming this trajectory and minimal model spread. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the strong alignment of verified data with resolution criteria for the official daily high. An unanticipated late-day wind shift or localized urban heating could theoretically elevate readings, though current atmospheric conditions make such deviations highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$84,891Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ensemble models project a maximum of 20°C in Madrid on May 16, supported by persistent high-pressure dominance and northerly airflow limiting warm-air advection from the south. Mid-May climatological averages near 22°C have been offset by recent cool anomalies, with real-time observations throughout the day confirming this trajectory and minimal model spread. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects the strong alignment of verified data with resolution criteria for the official daily high. An unanticipated late-day wind shift or localized urban heating could theoretically elevate readings, though current atmospheric conditions make such deviations highly unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen