Current forecasts for Panama City indicate a June-typical daily maximum near 30–31 °C, with model consensus from regional meteorological guidance showing modest afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies and scattered convection. The near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C market-implied odds stems from uncertainty in peak insolation versus the timing and intensity of tropical showers, which can suppress temperatures by 1–2 °C depending on cloud cover and rainfall onset. Historical June climatology places the mean high around 29–30 °C with low day-to-day variability driven by consistent trade-wind moisture and the northward migration of the ITCZ; traders appear to weigh recent model runs favoring slightly drier conditions or delayed convection that could allow brief clearing and an extra degree of warming before resolution criteria are met.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 14. Juni?
32°C 47%
31°C 40%
30°C 11%
33°C 3.6%
$13,909 Vol.
$13,909 Vol.
26°C oder weniger
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
11%
31°C
40%
32°C
47%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 47%
31°C 40%
30°C 11%
33°C 3.6%
$13,909 Vol.
$13,909 Vol.
26°C oder weniger
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
11%
31°C
40%
32°C
47%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Panama City indicate a June-typical daily maximum near 30–31 °C, with model consensus from regional meteorological guidance showing modest afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies and scattered convection. The near-even split between 31 °C and 32 °C market-implied odds stems from uncertainty in peak insolation versus the timing and intensity of tropical showers, which can suppress temperatures by 1–2 °C depending on cloud cover and rainfall onset. Historical June climatology places the mean high around 29–30 °C with low day-to-day variability driven by consistent trade-wind moisture and the northward migration of the ITCZ; traders appear to weigh recent model runs favoring slightly drier conditions or delayed convection that could allow brief clearing and an extra degree of warming before resolution criteria are met.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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