Persistent heatwave conditions over northern France, driven by a strong high-pressure system and warm air advection, have kept Paris overnight temperatures elevated, with official Météo-France and European model consensus pointing to a minimum near 19°C on August 13. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, as urban heat island effects and minimal radiative cooling under clear skies reduce the chance of dropping to historical mid-August averages around 15–16°C. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the exact threshold, though realistic shifts could occur from unanticipated increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or localized measurement variations at official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 13. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 13. August?
19°C 100.0%
18°C oder darunter <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,685 Vol.
$14,685 Vol.
13. Aug. 2026
18°C oder darunter
Nein
19°C
Ja
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C oder höher
Nein
19°C 100.0%
18°C oder darunter <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,685 Vol.
$14,685 Vol.
13. Aug. 2026
18°C oder darunter
$2,336 Vol.
Nein
19°C
$1,490 Vol.
Ja
20°C
$2,658 Vol.
Nein
21°C
$2,820 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$790 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$747 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$1,121 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$1,122 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$841 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$375 Vol.
Nein
28°C oder höher
$385 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions over northern France, driven by a strong high-pressure system and warm air advection, have kept Paris overnight temperatures elevated, with official Météo-France and European model consensus pointing to a minimum near 19°C on August 13. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, as urban heat island effects and minimal radiative cooling under clear skies reduce the chance of dropping to historical mid-August averages around 15–16°C. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the exact threshold, though realistic shifts could occur from unanticipated increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or localized measurement variations at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$14,685Enddatum
13. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions over northern France, driven by a strong high-pressure system and warm air advection, have kept Paris overnight temperatures elevated, with official Météo-France and European model consensus pointing to a minimum near 19°C on August 13. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, as urban heat island effects and minimal radiative cooling under clear skies reduce the chance of dropping to historical mid-August averages around 15–16°C. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the exact threshold, though realistic shifts could occur from unanticipated increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or localized measurement variations at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,685Enddatum
13. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Persistent heatwave conditions over northern France, driven by a strong high-pressure system and warm air advection, have kept Paris overnight temperatures elevated, with official Météo-France and European model consensus pointing to a minimum near 19°C on August 13. This aligns with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, as urban heat island effects and minimal radiative cooling under clear skies reduce the chance of dropping to historical mid-August averages around 15–16°C. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the exact threshold, though realistic shifts could occur from unanticipated increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or localized measurement variations at official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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