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icon for Welche Parteien werden bei der nächsten russischen Staatsduma-Wahl mindestens einen Sitz gewinnen?

Welche Parteien werden bei der nächsten russischen Staatsduma-Wahl mindestens einen Sitz gewinnen?

icon for Welche Parteien werden bei der nächsten russischen Staatsduma-Wahl mindestens einen Sitz gewinnen?

Welche Parteien werden bei der nächsten russischen Staatsduma-Wahl mindestens einen Sitz gewinnen?

$12,376 Vol.

20. Sep. 2026
Polymarket

$12,376 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)

Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)

$2,904 Vol.

98%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$3,498 Vol.

87%

icon for Jabloko

Jabloko

$2,800 Vol.

7%

icon for Russische Ökologische Partei „Die Grünen“

Russische Ökologische Partei „Die Grünen“

$1,057 Vol.

3%

icon for Russische Partei der Rentner für soziale Gerechtigkeit

Russische Partei der Rentner für soziale Gerechtigkeit

$2,117 Vol.

2%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s State Duma election, running September 18–20, 2026, occurs under a mixed system of proportional representation with a 5% threshold and single-member districts. Only five systemic parties—United Russia, CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People—hold realistic prospects of securing seats after authorities disqualified the anti-war Yabloko party via court ruling shortly before voting. Polls show United Russia well ahead, with the others trailing but positioned to clear barriers through established regional presence and Kremlin tolerance. Smaller registered parties face steep signature and administrative hurdles that have historically blocked entry. The tightly managed contest, shaped by wartime controls and limited opposition, concentrates trader focus on whether any non-systemic entrants can break through in districts despite the narrowed field.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.

Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.

These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$12,376
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s State Duma election, running September 18–20, 2026, occurs under a mixed system of proportional representation with a 5% threshold and single-member districts. Only five systemic parties—United Russia, CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People—hold realistic prospects of securing seats after authorities disqualified the anti-war Yabloko party via court ruling shortly before voting. Polls show United Russia well ahead, with the others trailing but positioned to clear barriers through established regional presence and Kremlin tolerance. Smaller registered parties face steep signature and administrative hurdles that have historically blocked entry. The tightly managed contest, shaped by wartime controls and limited opposition, concentrates trader focus on whether any non-systemic entrants can break through in districts despite the narrowed field.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.

Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.

These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$12,376
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET

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„Welche Parteien werden bei der nächsten russischen Staatsduma-Wahl mindestens einen Sitz gewinnen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)" mit 98%, gefolgt von „Rodina" mit 87%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 98¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 98% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Welche Parteien werden bei der nächsten russischen Staatsduma-Wahl mindestens einen Sitz gewinnen?" ist „Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)" mit 98%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 98% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Rodina" mit 87%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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