Ongoing global seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater events in the past four weeks after four such quakes struck the Pacific Ring of Fire between late March and mid-April 2026. Subduction zones along the Japan, Indonesia, Vanuatu, and Tonga trenches remain the primary drivers, with historical data indicating 15–20 events of this size occur worldwide each year on average. Traders watch real-time USGS magnitude thresholds, depth, and location criteria for resolution, as new aftershock sequences or model updates from regional networks could shift near-term odds before the market deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?
¿Otro terremoto de 7.0 o más por...?
$26,966 Vol.
31 may 2026
15 de mayo
<1%
30 de mayo
40%
$26,966 Vol.
15 de mayo
$4,830 Vol.
<1%
30 de mayo
$8,889 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Ongoing global seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater events in the past four weeks after four such quakes struck the Pacific Ring of Fire between late March and mid-April 2026. Subduction zones along the Japan, Indonesia, Vanuatu, and Tonga trenches remain the primary drivers, with historical data indicating 15–20 events of this size occur worldwide each year on average. Traders watch real-time USGS magnitude thresholds, depth, and location criteria for resolution, as new aftershock sequences or model updates from regional networks could shift near-term odds before the market deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Volumen
$26,966Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Ongoing global seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater events in the past four weeks after four such quakes struck the Pacific Ring of Fire between late March and mid-April 2026. Subduction zones along the Japan, Indonesia, Vanuatu, and Tonga trenches remain the primary drivers, with historical data indicating 15–20 events of this size occur worldwide each year on average. Traders watch real-time USGS magnitude thresholds, depth, and location criteria for resolution, as new aftershock sequences or model updates from regional networks could shift near-term odds before the market deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volumen
$26,966Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing global seismic monitoring by the U.S. Geological Survey shows no magnitude 7.0 or greater events in the past four weeks after four such quakes struck the Pacific Ring of Fire between late March and mid-April 2026. Subduction zones along the Japan, Indonesia, Vanuatu, and Tonga trenches remain the primary drivers, with historical data indicating 15–20 events of this size occur worldwide each year on average. Traders watch real-time USGS magnitude thresholds, depth, and location criteria for resolution, as new aftershock sequences or model updates from regional networks could shift near-term odds before the market deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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