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Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Amazonas

icon for Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Amazonas
Política·Brasil

Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Amazonas

Veterinário Wilson Grassi 42%

Samara 41%

Flavio Bolsonaro 40%

Lula 40%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Veterinário Wilson Grassi 42%

Samara 41%

Flavio Bolsonaro 40%

Lula 40%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Samara

Samara

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Lula

Lula

$45 Vol.

40%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Zema

Zema

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$0 Vol.

39%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$0 Vol.

39%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The Amazonas first-round contest stays highly competitive due to entrenched regional polarization between leftist and right-wing voters, with national frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro positioned as the main contenders for the most votes on October 4. Local factors including Amazon development policy, agribusiness interests, and security concerns sustain support for PL-aligned candidates while PT retains backing in urban and certain rural areas. Recent national polls show Lula holding a modest lead over Flávio Bolsonaro, yet Amazonas-specific surveys indicate tighter margins than the national average. Other listed candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register lower support and face structural barriers to topping the state ballot. Trader pricing captures this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on turnout patterns, late endorsements, or economic signals before the vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$45
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The Amazonas first-round contest stays highly competitive due to entrenched regional polarization between leftist and right-wing voters, with national frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro positioned as the main contenders for the most votes on October 4. Local factors including Amazon development policy, agribusiness interests, and security concerns sustain support for PL-aligned candidates while PT retains backing in urban and certain rural areas. Recent national polls show Lula holding a modest lead over Flávio Bolsonaro, yet Amazonas-specific surveys indicate tighter margins than the national average. Other listed candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register lower support and face structural barriers to topping the state ballot. Trader pricing captures this uncertainty, with separation likely hinging on turnout patterns, late endorsements, or economic signals before the vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volumen
$45
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Amazonas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Veterinário Wilson Grassi" con 42%, seguido de "Samara" con 41%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 42¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Amazonas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Amazonas", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Amazonas" es "Veterinário Wilson Grassi" con 42%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 42% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Samara" con 41%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Primera vuelta de las elecciones presidenciales de Brasil: 1er lugar en Amazonas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.