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Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas de FL-19

icon for Ganador de las primarias republicanas de FL-19
Política·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias republicanas de FL-19

Catalina Lauf 87%

Jim Schwartzel 10.9%

Jim Oberweis 1.2%

Madison Cawthorn <1%

Polymarket

$93,833 Vol.

Catalina Lauf 87%

Jim Schwartzel 10.9%

Jim Oberweis 1.2%

Madison Cawthorn <1%

Polymarket

$93,833 Vol.

icon for Catalina Lauf

Catalina Lauf

$43,453 Vol.

87%

icon for Jim Schwartzel

Jim Schwartzel

$28,014 Vol.

11%

icon for Jim Oberweis

Jim Oberweis

$11,660 Vol.

1%

icon for Madison Cawthorn

Madison Cawthorn

$4,386 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bob Rommel

Bob Rommel

$3,912 Vol.

<1%

icon for Spencer Roach

Spencer Roach

$2,408 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Catalina Lauf holds a dominant position in the Florida 19th Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for August 18, due to late momentum from high-profile endorsements and polling gains. President Trump endorsed her days before the primary, joining Reps. Greg Steube, Kat Cammack, and Anna Paulina Luna, along with Sen. Jim Banks and a Rand Paul super PAC running supportive ads. Recent surveys show Lauf rising sharply from single digits to tie or lead local businessman Jim Schwartzel near 19 percent, with former Rep. Jim Oberweis and others trailing further behind in a crowded field. Trader consensus reflects these developments, including Lauf's Trump administration background and rapid consolidation of support in the final stretch, while the remaining candidates face limited visibility and resources.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$93,833
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Catalina Lauf holds a dominant position in the Florida 19th Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for August 18, due to late momentum from high-profile endorsements and polling gains. President Trump endorsed her days before the primary, joining Reps. Greg Steube, Kat Cammack, and Anna Paulina Luna, along with Sen. Jim Banks and a Rand Paul super PAC running supportive ads. Recent surveys show Lauf rising sharply from single digits to tie or lead local businessman Jim Schwartzel near 19 percent, with former Rep. Jim Oberweis and others trailing further behind in a crowded field. Trader consensus reflects these developments, including Lauf's Trump administration background and rapid consolidation of support in the final stretch, while the remaining candidates face limited visibility and resources.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$93,833
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas de FL-19" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Catalina Lauf" con 87%, seguido de "Jim Schwartzel" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 87¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas de FL-19" ha generado $93.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas de FL-19", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas de FL-19" es "Catalina Lauf" con 87%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jim Schwartzel" con 11%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas de FL-19" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.