The Alagoas gubernatorial contest features a tight matchup between leading pre-candidates JHC and Renan Filho, with recent polling averages showing JHC ahead by single to double digits yet the market pricing both near even odds. This reflects substantial remaining uncertainty more than two months before the first-round vote, including potential shifts in alliances, undecided voters, and the possibility of additional entrants or runoff dynamics. Primary drivers include each candidate's regional base strength in key municipalities, positioning within national party coalitions, and ongoing campaign events that have yet to produce decisive separation in trader assessments of the eventual winner.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJHC 51%
Renan Filho 50%
Márcio Jambo 2.2%
Lenilda Luna 1.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
JHC
51%
Renan Filho
50%
Márcio Jambo
2%
Lenilda Luna
2%
JHC 51%
Renan Filho 50%
Márcio Jambo 2.2%
Lenilda Luna 1.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 oct 2026
JHC
$794 Vol.
51%
Renan Filho
$769 Vol.
50%
Márcio Jambo
$133 Vol.
2%
Lenilda Luna
$119 Vol.
2%
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Alagoas gubernatorial contest features a tight matchup between leading pre-candidates JHC and Renan Filho, with recent polling averages showing JHC ahead by single to double digits yet the market pricing both near even odds. This reflects substantial remaining uncertainty more than two months before the first-round vote, including potential shifts in alliances, undecided voters, and the possibility of additional entrants or runoff dynamics. Primary drivers include each candidate's regional base strength in key municipalities, positioning within national party coalitions, and ongoing campaign events that have yet to produce decisive separation in trader assessments of the eventual winner.
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Volumen
$1,816Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Alagoas gubernatorial contest features a tight matchup between leading pre-candidates JHC and Renan Filho, with recent polling averages showing JHC ahead by single to double digits yet the market pricing both near even odds. This reflects substantial remaining uncertainty more than two months before the first-round vote, including potential shifts in alliances, undecided voters, and the possibility of additional entrants or runoff dynamics. Primary drivers include each candidate's regional base strength in key municipalities, positioning within national party coalitions, and ongoing campaign events that have yet to produce decisive separation in trader assessments of the eventual winner.
The Alagoas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,816Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Alagoas gubernatorial contest features a tight matchup between leading pre-candidates JHC and Renan Filho, with recent polling averages showing JHC ahead by single to double digits yet the market pricing both near even odds. This reflects substantial remaining uncertainty more than two months before the first-round vote, including potential shifts in alliances, undecided voters, and the possibility of additional entrants or runoff dynamics. Primary drivers include each candidate's regional base strength in key municipalities, positioning within national party coalitions, and ongoing campaign events that have yet to produce decisive separation in trader assessments of the eventual winner.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes