Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.3% implied probability to a high of 23°C or higher in Chengdu on May 15, backed by forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather projecting a daytime maximum around 26°C (78°F) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport under partly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers. This aligns with the ongoing warm May pattern in the Sichuan Basin, where recent daily highs on May 12-14 ranged 25-28°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge fostering above-average temperatures. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected intensification of frontal rain or persistent overcast conditions suppressing solar heating, potentially capping the peak at 22°C—though ensemble models deem this unlikely ahead of afternoon observations. Official China Meteorological Administration data will confirm resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 15 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 15 de mayo?
23°C o más 95.5%
22°C 4.5%
21°C 1.2%
NUEVO
$23,109 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,109 Vol.
15 may 2026
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C o más
96%
23°C o más 95.5%
22°C 4.5%
21°C 1.2%
NUEVO
$23,109 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,109 Vol.
15 may 2026
21°C
$2,737 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,703 Vol.
5%
23°C o más
$2,381 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.3% implied probability to a high of 23°C or higher in Chengdu on May 15, backed by forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather projecting a daytime maximum around 26°C (78°F) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport under partly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers. This aligns with the ongoing warm May pattern in the Sichuan Basin, where recent daily highs on May 12-14 ranged 25-28°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge fostering above-average temperatures. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected intensification of frontal rain or persistent overcast conditions suppressing solar heating, potentially capping the peak at 22°C—though ensemble models deem this unlikely ahead of afternoon observations. Official China Meteorological Administration data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$23,109Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.3% implied probability to a high of 23°C or higher in Chengdu on May 15, backed by forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather projecting a daytime maximum around 26°C (78°F) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport under partly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers. This aligns with the ongoing warm May pattern in the Sichuan Basin, where recent daily highs on May 12-14 ranged 25-28°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge fostering above-average temperatures. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected intensification of frontal rain or persistent overcast conditions suppressing solar heating, potentially capping the peak at 22°C—though ensemble models deem this unlikely ahead of afternoon observations. Official China Meteorological Administration data will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,109Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.3% implied probability to a high of 23°C or higher in Chengdu on May 15, backed by forecast model consensus from sources like AccuWeather projecting a daytime maximum around 26°C (78°F) at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport under partly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers. This aligns with the ongoing warm May pattern in the Sichuan Basin, where recent daily highs on May 12-14 ranged 25-28°C amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge fostering above-average temperatures. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected intensification of frontal rain or persistent overcast conditions suppressing solar heating, potentially capping the peak at 22°C—though ensemble models deem this unlikely ahead of afternoon observations. Official China Meteorological Administration data will confirm resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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