Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical models have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by subtropical high pressure and strong daytime insolation across the Sichuan Basin under typical late-spring conditions. Moderate humidity and light winds are limiting convective cooling, while basin topography can trap heat and create small model spreads between 28°C and 30°C. These tight probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and cloud cover, with the next China Meteorological Administration model update likely to clarify whether afternoon heating pushes the high into the upper range or holds it near the current consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 17 de mayo?
29°C 31%
28°C 27%
30°C 17%
27°C 16%
$20,019 Vol.
$20,019 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
27%
29°C
31%
30°C
17%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 31%
28°C 27%
30°C 17%
27°C 16%
$20,019 Vol.
$20,019 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
27%
29°C
31%
30°C
17%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international numerical models have converged on a daily maximum near 29°C for Chengdu on May 17, driven by subtropical high pressure and strong daytime insolation across the Sichuan Basin under typical late-spring conditions. Moderate humidity and light winds are limiting convective cooling, while basin topography can trap heat and create small model spreads between 28°C and 30°C. These tight probabilities reflect genuine forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and cloud cover, with the next China Meteorological Administration model update likely to clarify whether afternoon heating pushes the high into the upper range or holds it near the current consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes