Trader sentiment has locked onto 13°C as the highest temperature recorded in Milan on May 15, reflected in the 100% market-implied odds for that outcome. This consensus stems directly from official meteorological observations showing a daily maximum of exactly 13°C under a stable high-pressure regime with northerly airflow that suppressed daytime warming. Mid-May climatological baselines for the Po Valley typically reach 18–22°C, so the cooler reading represents a clear departure driven by persistent cloud cover and lower-than-normal solar insolation. Resolution criteria rely on verified ground-station data from Italian meteorological authorities, with no model revisions or sensor discrepancies emerging in the final observation window. Only an unexpected late-day spike above 13°C or a post-event data correction could have altered the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$84,057 Vol.
$84,057 Vol.
15 may 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$84,057 Vol.
$84,057 Vol.
15 may 2026
9°C or below
$780 Vol.
No
10°C
$5,898 Vol.
No
11°C
$7,624 Vol.
No
12°C
$9,571 Vol.
No
13°C
$12,653 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$8,954 Vol.
No
15°C
$7,013 Vol.
No
16°C
$6,213 Vol.
No
17°C
$9,272 Vol.
No
18°C
$9,151 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$6,928 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment has locked onto 13°C as the highest temperature recorded in Milan on May 15, reflected in the 100% market-implied odds for that outcome. This consensus stems directly from official meteorological observations showing a daily maximum of exactly 13°C under a stable high-pressure regime with northerly airflow that suppressed daytime warming. Mid-May climatological baselines for the Po Valley typically reach 18–22°C, so the cooler reading represents a clear departure driven by persistent cloud cover and lower-than-normal solar insolation. Resolution criteria rely on verified ground-station data from Italian meteorological authorities, with no model revisions or sensor discrepancies emerging in the final observation window. Only an unexpected late-day spike above 13°C or a post-event data correction could have altered the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$84,057Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment has locked onto 13°C as the highest temperature recorded in Milan on May 15, reflected in the 100% market-implied odds for that outcome. This consensus stems directly from official meteorological observations showing a daily maximum of exactly 13°C under a stable high-pressure regime with northerly airflow that suppressed daytime warming. Mid-May climatological baselines for the Po Valley typically reach 18–22°C, so the cooler reading represents a clear departure driven by persistent cloud cover and lower-than-normal solar insolation. Resolution criteria rely on verified ground-station data from Italian meteorological authorities, with no model revisions or sensor discrepancies emerging in the final observation window. Only an unexpected late-day spike above 13°C or a post-event data correction could have altered the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$84,057Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader sentiment has locked onto 13°C as the highest temperature recorded in Milan on May 15, reflected in the 100% market-implied odds for that outcome. This consensus stems directly from official meteorological observations showing a daily maximum of exactly 13°C under a stable high-pressure regime with northerly airflow that suppressed daytime warming. Mid-May climatological baselines for the Po Valley typically reach 18–22°C, so the cooler reading represents a clear departure driven by persistent cloud cover and lower-than-normal solar insolation. Resolution criteria rely on verified ground-station data from Italian meteorological authorities, with no model revisions or sensor discrepancies emerging in the final observation window. Only an unexpected late-day spike above 13°C or a post-event data correction could have altered the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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