Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center show a high-pressure ridge directing warmer continental air over Moscow, with light southerly winds and reduced cloud cover supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 26°C. This places the day modestly above the May climatological average of about 18°C, aligning with ensemble model consensus and official guidance projecting a peak of 24–26°C amid occasional rain. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this tight forecast range and limited potential for stronger warm advection or subsidence that could push readings higher. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine the final peak before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 17 de mayo?
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,784 Vol.
$44,784 Vol.
17 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,784 Vol.
$44,784 Vol.
17 may 2026
18°C or below
$1,628 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,641 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,344 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,934 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,252 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,335 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,878 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,201 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$6,906 Vol.
100%
27°C
$5,539 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$6,124 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center show a high-pressure ridge directing warmer continental air over Moscow, with light southerly winds and reduced cloud cover supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 26°C. This places the day modestly above the May climatological average of about 18°C, aligning with ensemble model consensus and official guidance projecting a peak of 24–26°C amid occasional rain. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this tight forecast range and limited potential for stronger warm advection or subsidence that could push readings higher. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine the final peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$44,784Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center show a high-pressure ridge directing warmer continental air over Moscow, with light southerly winds and reduced cloud cover supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 26°C. This places the day modestly above the May climatological average of about 18°C, aligning with ensemble model consensus and official guidance projecting a peak of 24–26°C amid occasional rain. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this tight forecast range and limited potential for stronger warm advection or subsidence that could push readings higher. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine the final peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$44,784Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center show a high-pressure ridge directing warmer continental air over Moscow, with light southerly winds and reduced cloud cover supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 26°C. This places the day modestly above the May climatological average of about 18°C, aligning with ensemble model consensus and official guidance projecting a peak of 24–26°C amid occasional rain. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 26°C reflects this tight forecast range and limited potential for stronger warm advection or subsidence that could push readings higher. Updated model runs and real-time observations through the afternoon will determine the final peak before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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