Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model runs show Paris under persistent overcast skies with a cool northwesterly flow, limiting daytime heating and capping the maximum temperature at 16 °C. Morning readings near 7–9 °C and light winds have kept surface warming modest, consistent with the historical May average high of 18 °C yet below recent seasonal norms. The market’s near-certain 16 °C outcome reflects this stable, evidence-based consensus. A brief clearing of clouds during peak afternoon hours could allow an additional 1–2 °C of warming, but current observational trends and updated model guidance make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 16 de mayo?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,173 Vol.
$155,173 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,173 Vol.
$155,173 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model runs show Paris under persistent overcast skies with a cool northwesterly flow, limiting daytime heating and capping the maximum temperature at 16 °C. Morning readings near 7–9 °C and light winds have kept surface warming modest, consistent with the historical May average high of 18 °C yet below recent seasonal norms. The market’s near-certain 16 °C outcome reflects this stable, evidence-based consensus. A brief clearing of clouds during peak afternoon hours could allow an additional 1–2 °C of warming, but current observational trends and updated model guidance make such a shift unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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