Latest forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a peak temperature near 16–17°C for Paris on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating. Morning lows near 7–9°C are expected to rise gradually under mostly overcast skies, with only brief breaks in cloud allowing modest warming before evening cooling sets in. This pattern aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the Île-de-France region, where Atlantic systems frequently suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal averages. Traders have placed the heaviest implied probability on 16°C, reflecting consensus model runs that show little potential for either strong sunshine or incoming warm advection to push readings higher. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris will determine the final recorded maximum later today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 17 de mayo?
16°C 45%
15°C 37%
17°C 15%
14°C 4.3%
$54,352 Vol.
$54,352 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
37%
16°C
45%
17°C
15%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 45%
15°C 37%
17°C 15%
14°C 4.3%
$54,352 Vol.
$54,352 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
37%
16°C
45%
17°C
15%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBLatest forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a peak temperature near 16–17°C for Paris on May 17, driven by persistent cloud cover and light northerly flow that limits daytime heating. Morning lows near 7–9°C are expected to rise gradually under mostly overcast skies, with only brief breaks in cloud allowing modest warming before evening cooling sets in. This pattern aligns with typical mid-May climatology for the Île-de-France region, where Atlantic systems frequently suppress maximum temperatures below seasonal averages. Traders have placed the heaviest implied probability on 16°C, reflecting consensus model runs that show little potential for either strong sunshine or incoming warm advection to push readings higher. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris will determine the final recorded maximum later today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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