Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and Brazil’s INMET network recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 16 under typical autumn subsidence and light easterly flow that limited cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming. This measurement, taken at the standard 2-meter height per World Meteorological Organization protocols, aligns with the market’s near-100% consensus on the 27°C outcome and sits slightly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and CPTEC had projected values near this threshold, with minimal spread once the frontal boundary remained offshore. Only an unanticipated late-day heat burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly could have altered the official reading, scenarios now ruled out by post-event verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 16 de mayo?
27°C 100.0%
19°C o menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$86,909 Vol.
$86,909 Vol.
19°C o menos
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Sí
28°C
No
29°C o más
No
27°C 100.0%
19°C o menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$86,909 Vol.
$86,909 Vol.
19°C o menos
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Sí
28°C
No
29°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport and Brazil’s INMET network recorded a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 16 under typical autumn subsidence and light easterly flow that limited cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming. This measurement, taken at the standard 2-meter height per World Meteorological Organization protocols, aligns with the market’s near-100% consensus on the 27°C outcome and sits slightly above the city’s mid-May climatological average of 22–24°C. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and CPTEC had projected values near this threshold, with minimal spread once the frontal boundary remained offshore. Only an unanticipated late-day heat burst or station-specific microclimate anomaly could have altered the official reading, scenarios now ruled out by post-event verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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