Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles point to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta on May 17, limiting solar heating and holding the daytime maximum near 26–27°C. These conditions suppress surface warming compared with the May climatological average of 29–31°C, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation keep temperatures from climbing higher. Trader consensus on the close 27°C and 26°C outcomes reflects model spread in afternoon clearing potential, with resolution hinging on official hourly observations from Shenzhen stations. New short-range guidance expected later today could shift probabilities if skies partially break.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 17 de mayo?
27°C 34%
26°C 32%
28°C 26%
29°C 9%
NUEVO
$23,597 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,597 Vol.
17 may 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
32%
27°C
34%
28°C
26%
29°C
9%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 34%
26°C 32%
28°C 26%
29°C 9%
NUEVO
$23,597 Vol.
NUEVO
$23,597 Vol.
17 may 2026
21°C or below
$1,761 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,783 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,725 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,776 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,351 Vol.
8%
26°C
$1,695 Vol.
32%
27°C
$1,362 Vol.
34%
28°C
$1,249 Vol.
26%
29°C
$1,206 Vol.
9%
30°C
$882 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$3,930 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles point to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta on May 17, limiting solar heating and holding the daytime maximum near 26–27°C. These conditions suppress surface warming compared with the May climatological average of 29–31°C, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation keep temperatures from climbing higher. Trader consensus on the close 27°C and 26°C outcomes reflects model spread in afternoon clearing potential, with resolution hinging on official hourly observations from Shenzhen stations. New short-range guidance expected later today could shift probabilities if skies partially break.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$23,597Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles point to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta on May 17, limiting solar heating and holding the daytime maximum near 26–27°C. These conditions suppress surface warming compared with the May climatological average of 29–31°C, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation keep temperatures from climbing higher. Trader consensus on the close 27°C and 26°C outcomes reflects model spread in afternoon clearing potential, with resolution hinging on official hourly observations from Shenzhen stations. New short-range guidance expected later today could shift probabilities if skies partially break.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,597Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZForecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles point to persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta on May 17, limiting solar heating and holding the daytime maximum near 26–27°C. These conditions suppress surface warming compared with the May climatological average of 29–31°C, as reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation keep temperatures from climbing higher. Trader consensus on the close 27°C and 26°C outcomes reflects model spread in afternoon clearing potential, with resolution hinging on official hourly observations from Shenzhen stations. New short-range guidance expected later today could shift probabilities if skies partially break.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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