Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain deadlocked over Iran's uranium enrichment rights, with Tehran proposing temporary pauses of up to 15 years followed by resumed activity at low levels while rejecting permanent cessation. Recent Iranian counterproposals from early May 2026 defer core nuclear concessions to later phases in exchange for sanctions relief and an end to blockades, but US demands center on zero enrichment and stockpile removal. Iranian officials have signaled resistance through parliamentary warnings of potential 90 percent enrichment if strikes resume, amid a fragile ceasefire and unresolved disputes over facilities and verification. With the June 30 deadline weeks away and no public commitment or breakthrough in sight, traders assign an 80 percent implied probability to No, reflecting entrenched positions and the absence of diplomatic momentum capable of producing agreement within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Irán acuerda poner fin al enriquecimiento de uranio antes del 30 de junio?
¿Irán acuerda poner fin al enriquecimiento de uranio antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$1,383,207 Vol.
$1,383,207 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$1,383,207 Vol.
$1,383,207 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain deadlocked over Iran's uranium enrichment rights, with Tehran proposing temporary pauses of up to 15 years followed by resumed activity at low levels while rejecting permanent cessation. Recent Iranian counterproposals from early May 2026 defer core nuclear concessions to later phases in exchange for sanctions relief and an end to blockades, but US demands center on zero enrichment and stockpile removal. Iranian officials have signaled resistance through parliamentary warnings of potential 90 percent enrichment if strikes resume, amid a fragile ceasefire and unresolved disputes over facilities and verification. With the June 30 deadline weeks away and no public commitment or breakthrough in sight, traders assign an 80 percent implied probability to No, reflecting entrenched positions and the absence of diplomatic momentum capable of producing agreement within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volumen
$1,383,207Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain deadlocked over Iran's uranium enrichment rights, with Tehran proposing temporary pauses of up to 15 years followed by resumed activity at low levels while rejecting permanent cessation. Recent Iranian counterproposals from early May 2026 defer core nuclear concessions to later phases in exchange for sanctions relief and an end to blockades, but US demands center on zero enrichment and stockpile removal. Iranian officials have signaled resistance through parliamentary warnings of potential 90 percent enrichment if strikes resume, amid a fragile ceasefire and unresolved disputes over facilities and verification. With the June 30 deadline weeks away and no public commitment or breakthrough in sight, traders assign an 80 percent implied probability to No, reflecting entrenched positions and the absence of diplomatic momentum capable of producing agreement within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,383,207Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations remain deadlocked over Iran's uranium enrichment rights, with Tehran proposing temporary pauses of up to 15 years followed by resumed activity at low levels while rejecting permanent cessation. Recent Iranian counterproposals from early May 2026 defer core nuclear concessions to later phases in exchange for sanctions relief and an end to blockades, but US demands center on zero enrichment and stockpile removal. Iranian officials have signaled resistance through parliamentary warnings of potential 90 percent enrichment if strikes resume, amid a fragile ceasefire and unresolved disputes over facilities and verification. With the June 30 deadline weeks away and no public commitment or breakthrough in sight, traders assign an 80 percent implied probability to No, reflecting entrenched positions and the absence of diplomatic momentum capable of producing agreement within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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