SpaceX's completed June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation (rising above $2 trillion post-listing) anchors trader sentiment at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting its record scale, Starlink revenue trajectory, and integration of xAI assets. Anthropic's 35.8% odds stem from May 2026 Series H funding at a $965 billion post-money valuation and investor targets of $2 trillion-plus for an October listing that could eclipse SpaceX. xAI's 25.5% weighting ties directly to its February 2026 acquisition by SpaceX ahead of the public debut. Other candidates like OpenAI remain below 1% amid slower IPO timelines and lower near-term valuation benchmarks. Upcoming catalysts center on Anthropic's filing details and final pricing, which will determine whether the 2026 largest-IPO title shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La mayor salida a bolsa por capitalización bursátil en 2026?
¿La mayor salida a bolsa por capitalización bursátil en 2026?
SpaceX 64%
Anthropic 35.6%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,418,870 Vol.
$5,418,870 Vol.
31 dic 2026
SpaceX
64%
Anthropic
36%
OpenAI
<1%
Discord
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Kraken
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
SpaceX 64%
Anthropic 35.6%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,418,870 Vol.
$5,418,870 Vol.
31 dic 2026
SpaceX
$742,629 Vol.
64%
Anthropic
$781,769 Vol.
36%
OpenAI
$476,832 Vol.
<1%
Discord
$176,728 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$208,392 Vol.
<1%
Stripe
$128,177 Vol.
<1%
Kraken
$655,953 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$581,615 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$316,150 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$633,436 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$104,136 Vol.
<1%
Databricks
$613,055 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's completed June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation (rising above $2 trillion post-listing) anchors trader sentiment at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting its record scale, Starlink revenue trajectory, and integration of xAI assets. Anthropic's 35.8% odds stem from May 2026 Series H funding at a $965 billion post-money valuation and investor targets of $2 trillion-plus for an October listing that could eclipse SpaceX. xAI's 25.5% weighting ties directly to its February 2026 acquisition by SpaceX ahead of the public debut. Other candidates like OpenAI remain below 1% amid slower IPO timelines and lower near-term valuation benchmarks. Upcoming catalysts center on Anthropic's filing details and final pricing, which will determine whether the 2026 largest-IPO title shifts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volumen
$5,418,870Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's completed June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation (rising above $2 trillion post-listing) anchors trader sentiment at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting its record scale, Starlink revenue trajectory, and integration of xAI assets. Anthropic's 35.8% odds stem from May 2026 Series H funding at a $965 billion post-money valuation and investor targets of $2 trillion-plus for an October listing that could eclipse SpaceX. xAI's 25.5% weighting ties directly to its February 2026 acquisition by SpaceX ahead of the public debut. Other candidates like OpenAI remain below 1% amid slower IPO timelines and lower near-term valuation benchmarks. Upcoming catalysts center on Anthropic's filing details and final pricing, which will determine whether the 2026 largest-IPO title shifts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$5,418,870Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's completed June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion valuation (rising above $2 trillion post-listing) anchors trader sentiment at 63.5% implied probability, reflecting its record scale, Starlink revenue trajectory, and integration of xAI assets. Anthropic's 35.8% odds stem from May 2026 Series H funding at a $965 billion post-money valuation and investor targets of $2 trillion-plus for an October listing that could eclipse SpaceX. xAI's 25.5% weighting ties directly to its February 2026 acquisition by SpaceX ahead of the public debut. Other candidates like OpenAI remain below 1% amid slower IPO timelines and lower near-term valuation benchmarks. Upcoming catalysts center on Anthropic's filing details and final pricing, which will determine whether the 2026 largest-IPO title shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes