Skip to main content
icon for Lima Mayoral Election Winner
Política·Perú

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Lima Mayoral Election Winner
Política·Perú

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 30%

Francis James Allison Oyague 22%

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 9.5%

Santiago Rosendo Abarca León 4.7%

Polymarket

$42,715 Vol.

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 30%

Francis James Allison Oyague 22%

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 9.5%

Santiago Rosendo Abarca León 4.7%

Polymarket

$42,715 Vol.

icon for Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca

$10,788 Vol.

30%

icon for Francis James Allison Oyague

Francis James Allison Oyague

$11,047 Vol.

22%

icon for Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera

$4,807 Vol.

10%

icon for Santiago Rosendo Abarca León

Santiago Rosendo Abarca León

$209 Vol.

5%

icon for Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli

Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli

$1,041 Vol.

4%

icon for Segundo Valdez Zavala

Segundo Valdez Zavala

$224 Vol.

4%

icon for Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra

Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra

$505 Vol.

4%

icon for Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay

Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay

$382 Vol.

4%

icon for Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza

Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza

$279 Vol.

3%

icon for Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué

Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué

$427 Vol.

3%

icon for Flor de María Hurtado Valdez

Flor de María Hurtado Valdez

$213 Vol.

3%

icon for Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo

Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo

$6,663 Vol.

3%

icon for Samuel Marcos Daza Taype

Samuel Marcos Daza Taype

$543 Vol.

17%

icon for Rubén José Ramírez Mateo

Rubén José Ramírez Mateo

$346 Vol.

3%

icon for Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar

Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar

$439 Vol.

3%

icon for Sandro Caller Gutiérrez

Sandro Caller Gutiérrez

$229 Vol.

2%

icon for Yehude Simón Munaro

Yehude Simón Munaro

$2,733 Vol.

1%

icon for Jessica Viviana Linares Romero

Jessica Viviana Linares Romero

$579 Vol.

1%

icon for Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés

Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés

$230 Vol.

1%

icon for Samir Frank Quispe Caballero

Samir Frank Quispe Caballero

$248 Vol.

1%

icon for Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega

Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega

$473 Vol.

12%

icon for Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino

Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino

$310 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The crowded field of over 20 candidates for Lima's October municipal election has kept implied probabilities closely distributed, with no single contender exceeding 30% in trader consensus amid party-system fragmentation and vote splitting among established names. Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca leads listed options at 30%, followed by Francis James Allison Oyague and others, reflecting limited polling differentiation and the structural challenge of securing a majority in a multi-candidate race. Recent candidate inscriptions closing in June without a dominant frontrunner reinforced this dispersion, while upcoming debates, endorsements, and late-campaign momentum in key districts could consolidate support and shift probabilities ahead of the vote.

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volumen
$42,715
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The crowded field of over 20 candidates for Lima's October municipal election has kept implied probabilities closely distributed, with no single contender exceeding 30% in trader consensus amid party-system fragmentation and vote splitting among established names. Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca leads listed options at 30%, followed by Francis James Allison Oyague and others, reflecting limited polling differentiation and the structural challenge of securing a majority in a multi-candidate race. Recent candidate inscriptions closing in June without a dominant frontrunner reinforced this dispersion, while upcoming debates, endorsements, and late-campaign momentum in key districts could consolidate support and shift probabilities ahead of the vote.

The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volumen
$42,715
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

Relacionado

icon for ¿Ganarà Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar las próximas elecciones para alcalde de Cusco?

¿Ganarà Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar las próximas elecciones para alcalde de Cusco?

37%
Sí
icon for ¿Ganarà Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera las próximas elecciones municipales de Trujillo?

¿Ganarà Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera las próximas elecciones municipales de Trujillo?

37%
Sí
icon for ¿Ganará Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa las próximas elecciones para alcalde de Arequipa?

¿Ganará Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa las próximas elecciones para alcalde de Arequipa?

38%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Lima Mayoral Election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 22 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca" con 30%, seguido de "Francis James Allison Oyague" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 30¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 30% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Lima Mayoral Election Winner" ha generado $42.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Lima Mayoral Election Winner", explora los 22 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Lima Mayoral Election Winner" es "Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca" con 30%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 30% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francis James Allison Oyague" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Lima Mayoral Election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.