Official meteorological data from Météo-France confirm a minimum temperature of 6°C in Paris on May 16, driven by clear overnight skies, light northerly winds, and persistent high pressure that suppressed radiative cooling and prevented deeper temperature drops. Ensemble forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, reflecting typical late-spring climatology for the region where nocturnal lows rarely fall below 5°C under stable anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on the 6°C outcome incorporates these verified measurements, with only remote scenarios such as post-event data revisions or localized microclimate anomalies capable of altering resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 16 de mayo?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 16 de mayo?
6°C 100.0%
0°C o menos <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$17,421 Vol.
$17,421 Vol.
16 may 2026
0°C o menos
No
1°C
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
Sí
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C o más
No
6°C 100.0%
0°C o menos <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$17,421 Vol.
$17,421 Vol.
16 may 2026
0°C o menos
$265 Vol.
No
1°C
$475 Vol.
No
2°C
$782 Vol.
No
3°C
$864 Vol.
No
4°C
$817 Vol.
No
5°C
$1,871 Vol.
No
6°C
$1,407 Vol.
Sí
7°C
$3,325 Vol.
No
8°C
$3,306 Vol.
No
9°C
$1,023 Vol.
No
10°C o más
$3,286 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological data from Météo-France confirm a minimum temperature of 6°C in Paris on May 16, driven by clear overnight skies, light northerly winds, and persistent high pressure that suppressed radiative cooling and prevented deeper temperature drops. Ensemble forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, reflecting typical late-spring climatology for the region where nocturnal lows rarely fall below 5°C under stable anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on the 6°C outcome incorporates these verified measurements, with only remote scenarios such as post-event data revisions or localized microclimate anomalies capable of altering resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$17,421Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological data from Météo-France confirm a minimum temperature of 6°C in Paris on May 16, driven by clear overnight skies, light northerly winds, and persistent high pressure that suppressed radiative cooling and prevented deeper temperature drops. Ensemble forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, reflecting typical late-spring climatology for the region where nocturnal lows rarely fall below 5°C under stable anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on the 6°C outcome incorporates these verified measurements, with only remote scenarios such as post-event data revisions or localized microclimate anomalies capable of altering resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$17,421Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBOfficial meteorological data from Météo-France confirm a minimum temperature of 6°C in Paris on May 16, driven by clear overnight skies, light northerly winds, and persistent high pressure that suppressed radiative cooling and prevented deeper temperature drops. Ensemble forecasts aligned closely with this outcome, reflecting typical late-spring climatology for the region where nocturnal lows rarely fall below 5°C under stable anticyclonic conditions. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on the 6°C outcome incorporates these verified measurements, with only remote scenarios such as post-event data revisions or localized microclimate anomalies capable of altering resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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