Dr. Daniel Santos maintains a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Pará governor race, reflecting recent polling that positions him ahead of Hana Ghassan amid a fragmented field that includes Éder Mauro and several lower-polling contenders. The contest remains tight because high undecided rates near 30 percent and shifting alliances continue to compress margins, with Santos drawing Bolsonarist support and organizational momentum while Ghassan benefits from the endorsement of popular former governor Helder Barbalho and MDB infrastructure. Primary factors include candidate positioning ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, variable turnout expectations in key regions, and limited name recognition for many alternatives. Any movement in head-to-head polling, major party endorsements, or late campaign events could widen separation before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección del gobernador de Pará
Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Pará
Hana Ghassan 49%
Dr. Daniel Santos 42%
Éder Mauro 8%
Paulo Rocha 1.2%
$12,591 Vol.
$12,591 Vol.
5 oct 2026
Hana Ghassan
49%
Dr. Daniel Santos
42%
Éder Mauro
8%
Paulo Rocha
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
1%
Rogério Barra
1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Hana Ghassan 49%
Dr. Daniel Santos 42%
Éder Mauro 8%
Paulo Rocha 1.2%
$12,591 Vol.
$12,591 Vol.
5 oct 2026
Hana Ghassan
$4,944 Vol.
49%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$4,472 Vol.
42%
Éder Mauro
$1,015 Vol.
8%
Paulo Rocha
$592 Vol.
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$539 Vol.
1%
Rogério Barra
$514 Vol.
1%
Zequinha Marinho
$514 Vol.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Daniel Santos maintains a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Pará governor race, reflecting recent polling that positions him ahead of Hana Ghassan amid a fragmented field that includes Éder Mauro and several lower-polling contenders. The contest remains tight because high undecided rates near 30 percent and shifting alliances continue to compress margins, with Santos drawing Bolsonarist support and organizational momentum while Ghassan benefits from the endorsement of popular former governor Helder Barbalho and MDB infrastructure. Primary factors include candidate positioning ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, variable turnout expectations in key regions, and limited name recognition for many alternatives. Any movement in head-to-head polling, major party endorsements, or late campaign events could widen separation before election day.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Volumen
$12,591Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Daniel Santos maintains a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Pará governor race, reflecting recent polling that positions him ahead of Hana Ghassan amid a fragmented field that includes Éder Mauro and several lower-polling contenders. The contest remains tight because high undecided rates near 30 percent and shifting alliances continue to compress margins, with Santos drawing Bolsonarist support and organizational momentum while Ghassan benefits from the endorsement of popular former governor Helder Barbalho and MDB infrastructure. Primary factors include candidate positioning ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, variable turnout expectations in key regions, and limited name recognition for many alternatives. Any movement in head-to-head polling, major party endorsements, or late campaign events could widen separation before election day.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$12,591Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Dr. Daniel Santos maintains a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Pará governor race, reflecting recent polling that positions him ahead of Hana Ghassan amid a fragmented field that includes Éder Mauro and several lower-polling contenders. The contest remains tight because high undecided rates near 30 percent and shifting alliances continue to compress margins, with Santos drawing Bolsonarist support and organizational momentum while Ghassan benefits from the endorsement of popular former governor Helder Barbalho and MDB infrastructure. Primary factors include candidate positioning ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, variable turnout expectations in key regions, and limited name recognition for many alternatives. Any movement in head-to-head polling, major party endorsements, or late campaign events could widen separation before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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