Lucas Ribeiro, the incumbent governor of Paraíba who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevedo’s resignation, holds a strong lead in the October 4, 2026 election market at 75.5%. His position stems from the Progressistas (PP) party’s formal confirmation of his re-election bid on August 5, 2026, during a joint convention that also advanced coalition talks. Recent polls, including August surveys, show him ahead of main challengers such as former João Pessoa mayor Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 21.0% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 5.0%. Traders appear to price in his incumbency advantages, party machinery, and coalition-building momentum in a first-round contest that could advance to a runoff on October 25 if no candidate exceeds 50%. Key upcoming factors include vice-governor selection and further coalition alignments ahead of party conventions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Paraíba
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Paraíba
Lucas Ribeiro 75%
Cícero Lucena 22%
Efraim Filho 5%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo 1.1%
$46,456 Vol.
$46,456 Vol.
5 oct 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
75%
Cícero Lucena
22%
Efraim Filho
5%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Flávio Lúcio
1%
Nilvan Ferreira
<1%
Romero Rodrigues
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 75%
Cícero Lucena 22%
Efraim Filho 5%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo 1.1%
$46,456 Vol.
$46,456 Vol.
5 oct 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
$9,889 Vol.
75%
Cícero Lucena
$14,774 Vol.
22%
Efraim Filho
$13,146 Vol.
5%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,340 Vol.
1%
Flávio Lúcio
$801 Vol.
1%
Nilvan Ferreira
$798 Vol.
<1%
Romero Rodrigues
$1,429 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
$3,279 Vol.
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro, the incumbent governor of Paraíba who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevedo’s resignation, holds a strong lead in the October 4, 2026 election market at 75.5%. His position stems from the Progressistas (PP) party’s formal confirmation of his re-election bid on August 5, 2026, during a joint convention that also advanced coalition talks. Recent polls, including August surveys, show him ahead of main challengers such as former João Pessoa mayor Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 21.0% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 5.0%. Traders appear to price in his incumbency advantages, party machinery, and coalition-building momentum in a first-round contest that could advance to a runoff on October 25 if no candidate exceeds 50%. Key upcoming factors include vice-governor selection and further coalition alignments ahead of party conventions.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Volumen
$46,456Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro, the incumbent governor of Paraíba who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevedo’s resignation, holds a strong lead in the October 4, 2026 election market at 75.5%. His position stems from the Progressistas (PP) party’s formal confirmation of his re-election bid on August 5, 2026, during a joint convention that also advanced coalition talks. Recent polls, including August surveys, show him ahead of main challengers such as former João Pessoa mayor Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 21.0% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 5.0%. Traders appear to price in his incumbency advantages, party machinery, and coalition-building momentum in a first-round contest that could advance to a runoff on October 25 if no candidate exceeds 50%. Key upcoming factors include vice-governor selection and further coalition alignments ahead of party conventions.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$46,456Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro, the incumbent governor of Paraíba who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevedo’s resignation, holds a strong lead in the October 4, 2026 election market at 75.5%. His position stems from the Progressistas (PP) party’s formal confirmation of his re-election bid on August 5, 2026, during a joint convention that also advanced coalition talks. Recent polls, including August surveys, show him ahead of main challengers such as former João Pessoa mayor Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 21.0% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 5.0%. Traders appear to price in his incumbency advantages, party machinery, and coalition-building momentum in a first-round contest that could advance to a runoff on October 25 if no candidate exceeds 50%. Key upcoming factors include vice-governor selection and further coalition alignments ahead of party conventions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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